Brackman In A Free-fall

The draft’s best prospects, enough to fill the first round, based purely on talent. Previous rankings in parentheses. The list does not include players under control from the 2006 draft.

TOP 30 PROSPECTS
1. David Price, lhp, Vanderbilt (1)
Price should look good in green . . . His lone outing in the Southeastern Confernece tournament was customarily dominant—(9 IP, 5 H, 2 ER, 0 BB, 11 K) as shut down Mississippi State.
2. Rick Porcello, rhp, Seton Hall Prep, West Orange, N.J. (3)
Up
Porcello’s second-ranked Seton Hall Prep team defeated East Side High (Newark) 5-1 in Newark Saturday, and Porcello went the distance, allowing an unearned run on five hits with a walk and10 strikeouts.
3. Matt Wieters, c, Georgia Tech (4)
Wieter’s college career ended on a down note, as his Yellow Jackets were denied a bid to the NCAA tournament. He was 3-for-13 with three RBIs in the Atlantic Coast Conference tournament, though an American League scouting director said, “I thought he had a good tournament. Line him up against the other position players and he should go good. If he doesn’t it’s strictly because of financial concerns.”
4. Mike Moustakas, ss, Chatsworth (Calif.) HS (6)
Up
In a second-round playoff win last weekend, Moustakas had a first inning single, was hit by a pitch, stole a base and scored two runs.
5. Josh Vitters, 3b, Cypress (Calif.) HS (2)
Down
Vitters’ season ended in a playoff loss to Vista Murrieta High last week, but in appropriate fashion, he homered in the loss, slamming a three-run shot to the opposite field, his ninth this season. “I think he’s going to go 4 to the Pirates,” said John Weber, Vitters’ coach. “If I were a betting man, I think that’s where he winds up.” One of Vitters’ workouts recently was for the Devil Rays; he also worked out for the Cubs, taking live BP directly from Cubs scouting director Tim Wilken.
6. Jason Heyward, of, Henry County HS, McDonough, Ga. (11)
Up
Heyward’s season came to an end in the Georgia playoffs, and he capped his career successfully. “I was at his last two series and he played his best he has all season,” a National League scout said. “He drove the ball, and took a pitch up and away out for a home run to the opposite field and doubled off a breaking ball.”
7. Ross Detwiler, lhp, Missouri State (7)
Down
A split fingernail on his pitching hand limited Detwiler to three innings in what proved to be his final 2007 start, but he and Daniel Moskos were already established as lefthanders with upisde and cinch first-round picks.
8. Daniel Moskos, lhp, Clemson (8)
Down
Although Moskos fastbal velocity was down in his ACC tourney outing against Miami, he earned accolades for other reasons. “The stuff was just ok, he pitched at 87-89, but he competed his tail off, which was nice. He showed a lot of poise and moxie as the game went on. If teams went in there looking for him to light up the radar gun, then they might not have left quite as confident,” a scout said. Moskos’ slider has been excellent of late.
9. Jarrod Parker, rhp, Norwell HS, Ossian, Ind. (10)
Parker threw well in a three-inning outing Tuesday night. He has a tendency to throw his fastball by his substandard competition, which is all he needs to do to be successful, but makes it tough to grade his secondary stuff. He was up to 96 and his high school team could be playing well into the month of June, as it was 30-0 heading into the playoffs.
10. Beau Mills, 1b/3b, Lewis-Clark State (Idaho) (17)
Up
Lewis-Clark (Idaho) State earned a berth into the NAIA World Series behind Mills’ monster year. “He’s probably one of the fastest-rising guys in this whole deal,” an AL crosschecker said. “I never would have thought he’d be in the mix in the first round, but he deserves a lot of credit because he’s worked hard and really performed well.”
11. Blake Beavan, rhp, Irving (Texas) HS (15)
The Dodgers are one of a handful of teams believed to be hot for Beavan, whose season has been over for more than three weeks.
12. Madison Bumgarner, lhp, South Caldwell HS, Hudson, N.C. (12)
Bumgarner’s team was ranked nationally and headed to the 4-A state finals this weekend in Zebulon, N.C. He was dominant in his semifinals start, striking out at least two batters in each of the first six innings.
13. Matt Dominguez, 3b, Chatsworth (Calif.) HS (14)
Up
As Chatsworth was pressing toward another L.A. City Section championship game appearance, Dominguez was picking up the pace. He was 6-for-8 with two home runs in the Chancellors’ first two playoff games.
14. Matt Harvey, rhp, Fitch HS, Groton, Conn. (9)
Down
With the depth and talent of this class, Harvey wasn’t separating himself, and suffered his first loss of the season last week, despite striking out 14 in a complete-game effort.
15. Julio Borbon, of, Tennessee (22)
Tennesse’s failure to receive an NCAA bid could help Borbon and Tennessee catcher J.P. Arencibia, who could elect to attend some private workouts where teams searching to get a read on them, due to their injuries and inconsistent performance this year, can get a better look.
16. Devin Mesoraco, c, Punxsutawney (Pa.) HS (30)
The more players who slide out of the top 10 picks based on signability, the better for Mesoraco, who has asserted himself as a first rounder who was expected to sign quickly for slot money anywhere in the first 30 picks. “He, like Mills, could go in in the top 15 picks, and maybe a plan B as high as nine or 10,” an AL scouting director said.
17. Michael Main, rhp/of, Deland (Fla.) HS (19)
After leading his high school team to the state semifinals for the second year in a row, Main tossed two-innings in Sebring, Fla., in the state all-star game and was roughed up. Despite a bout of wildness and a hanging slider that was hit for a grand slam by John Tolisano (Estero, Fla.), Main touched 96 mph and was commended by scouts. “I’m not worried about it . . . that’s pretty good (stuff),” an AL scout said in Sebring.
18. Casey Weathers, rhp, Vanderbilt (20)
Up
Weathers continues to blow away the competition and was going strong as the Commodores stormed into the NCAA tournament as the No. 1 national seed. “He’s been one of the most consistent guys the entire season,” an AL scouting director said. “If you want him, you’re going to have to step up and grab him, maybe not the first 16 or 18 picks but not long afterward.”
19. Phillippe Aumont, rhp, Ecole Du Versant, Gatineau, Que. (13)
Aumont breezed through three innings of his last outing Tuesday against the Twins’ Rookie-level Dominican League team pitching at 90-92, topping out at 94. “Command was spotty,” a scout in attendance said. “I can see why everybody is making the Kevin Brown comparisons—body and sinker similarities.”
20. Josh Smoker, lhp, Calhoun (Ga.) HS (16)
Down
One of Georgia’s all-time best high school pitchers wasn’t at his best in his last start. Smoker’s velocity was more in the 86-90 mph range in his last outing, as opposed to the 90-94 he had shown earlier in the season, though he remains a consensus first-round pick. Although he improved to 12-0, Smoker allowed only one less earned run than he had all season, allowing five runs on seven hits in a 2-A semifinal playoff game.
21. Matt LaPorta, 1b, Florida (18)
LaPorta launched his 20th homer and 74th of his career in the first inning of a loss to South Carolina that eliminated the Gators from the SEC tournament. The blast turned out to be LaPorta’s lone hit of the tourney, and the back half of the first round is where he’s likely to be taken. Florida’s season (and his college career) is over.
22. Kevin Ahrens, 3b, Memorial HS, Houston (25)
Ahrens homered in his last game and has done nothing to damage his stock, which took off early this spring and remains among the draft’s top prep hitters.
23. Nick Schmidt, lhp, Arkansas (23)
Up
The Razorbacks were the No. 7 national seed in the NCAA tournament and Schmidt’s SEC tournament outing (9 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 4 BB, 6 K versus Alabama) boosted the polished lefy’s stock. “I don’t think he’s the type of guy you’re doing cartwheels about when you get him, but I think he goes early sandwich (round) at worst,” said a crosschecker with an AL club.
24. Todd Frazier, 3b, Rutgers (26)
Up
In a draft thin in college position players, Frazier was gaining more momentum based on his solid, consistent performance as a junior this season. “Great year, guys like really like him,” an AL crosschecker said. “Later first round guy, too.”
25. J.P. Arencibia, c/1b, Tennessee (NR)
Up
Although a back injury depressed Arencibia’s draft stock, there were a handful of teams that had seen him show glimpses of the plus power and ability to stay behind the plate that raised his profile last summer with USA Baseball’s college national team.
26. Pete Kozma, ss, Owasso (Okla.) HS (NR)
Up
Kozma has taken a step ahead of the deep crop of toolsy high school middle infielders. As part of Owasso’s 23-game win streak to end the season and claim the Oklahoma state 6-A title, Kozma went 9-for-11 with one home run, five doubles, nine RBIs and eight runs in the regional bracket before dominating the state rounds. In the final four games of his career, he went 5-for-9 with four home runs, seven RBIs and four intentional walks.
27. Jack McGeary, lhp/1b, Roxbury Latin HS, West Roxbury, Mass. (24)
Down
Despite an impressive record (5-1, 0.88), McGeary had 21 walks in 40 innings and his velocity was in the 83-87 mph range for much of his last outing. “He had a very, very average year at best,” an AL crosschecker said. “I thought going into the year he was a late first-rounder but I think he might be sliding to the second, and beyond (that) because of his signability.”
28. Andrew Brackman, rhp, North Carolina State (5)
Cold
There hasn’t been a player to suffer a greater fall than Brackman, who didn’t pitch in the ACC tournament and has made only one appearance, totaling four innings, during the entire month. The team has said his arm is simply tired, but if Brackman doesn’t pitch again before the draft, he could slide out of the first round altogether.
29. Jake Arrieta, rhp, Texas Christian (NR)
Arrieta had not showed the same stuff this season as he showed alst summer with USA Baseball’s college national team, but he pitched well in his last outing in the Mountain West tournament in Las Vegas, touching 94 and flashing above-average secondary offerings in his split-finger fastball and 78-81 mph slider. “I think you have to look at the body of work with some of these guys and not just what they’ve done in their last two or three outings,” said a scouting director with a National League team. “To me Arrieta is the type of arm I would not be surprised to see go in the back of the first round.”
30. James Simmons, rhp, UC Riverside (27)
Simmons led UC Riverside to the Big West title, even though he lost his last start against No. 9 UC Irvine. Simmons’ fastball has stayed firm all season, regularly hitting 93 mph in his last start, and as usual, he didn’t walk a batter in eight innings. He’s the college pitcher to draft if you like numbers and command: 10-3, 2.32 with a 113-13 strikeout-walk ratio in 116 innings.

LIP OF THE CUP
Nick Noonan, 2b, Parker HS, San Diego (NR)
Grant Desme, of, Cal Poly (NR)
Sam Demel, rhp, Texas Christian (NR)
Kyle Russell, of, Texas (NR)
Nick Hagadone, lhp, Washington (NR)
Neil Ramirez, rhp, Kempsville (Va.) HS (NR)
Will Middlebrooks, 3b/rhp, Liberty-Eylau HS, Texarkana, Texas (NR)

Up Prospect’s stock is up

Hot Prospect’s stock is rising fast

Down Prospect’s stock is down

Cold Prospect’s stock is dropping fast

Draft | #2007 #Draft Tracker

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