2015 MLB Draft Order And Projected Pools

With the impending signing of James Shields by the Padres, the complete 2015 draft order has been set and for the first time under the current Collective Bargaining Agreement, signed in 2011, the Astros will not select first.

The Diamondbacks, by virtue of their 64-98 record, will pick first for the first time since 2005, when they picked Justin Upton out of a Virginia high school.

While it won’t pick first, Houston will have an outsized affect on the draft, with rare ammunition in both picks and financial capital. The Astros come armed with the No. 2 overall selection (compensation for not coming to terms with 2014 No. 1 overall pick Brady Aiken) and the fifth selection, the highest choices for one team since the Diamondbacks picked third and seventh overall in 2011.

The assigned pick values for those slots totaled $10,672,800 in 2014, and their 2015 values will likely far exceed that. For context, only one team spent more than $10 million for their entire bonus pool in 2014—the Marlins, who spent $12,741,700, the largest draft bonus expenditure in the three drafts under the current CBA.

Boston has the seventh choice for the second time in three years—the Red Sox picked New Castle (Ind.) High lefthander Trey Ball in 2013—after not having picked in the top 10 in two decades.

The Rays have the 13th choice, the highest they’ve selected since 2008 when they picked Georgia prep shortstop Tim Beckham No. 1 overall—infamously, ahead of Buster Posey, who went fifth to the Giants.

By virtue of the Padres (No. 13), Mets (No. 15) and White Sox (No. 17) forfeiting first-round picks, the Yankees are selecting 16th, the highest they’ve chosen since 1993, when they picked No. 13 and chose Matt Drews, a 6-foot-8 righthander out of high school in Sarasota, Fla. Drews was traded to Detroit in 1996 for Cecil Fielder, a key piece of their World Series title team.

The 2015 draft marks the first with their new team for eight scouting directors, including the Diamondbacks’ Deric Ladnier, who was Kansas City’s director in 2006 when the Royals picked No. 1 overall. In that draft, and settled on righthander Luke Hochevar after mulling other options.

The Mets, who gave up their first-rounder for signing the Rockies’ Michael Cuddyer, don’t pick until No. 53, the latest they’ve picked since 2009, when they picked Steven Matz No. 72 overall. The Mariners, who lost pick No. 19 for signing slugger Nelson Cruz, won’t pick until No. 60, while the Nationals don’t pick until No. 58 after signing righthander Max Scherzer, but also pick No. 69 as compensation for failing to sign Miami’s Andrew Suarez, their second-round pick last June.

The Cardinals received a third-round pick (No. 105 overall, which had a pick value of $499,500 in 2014) for not coming to terms with Loyola Marymount righthander Trevor Megill.

In the case of a tie record, draft order is determined by last year’s record. The team with the worse 2013 record picks first.

The second chart below presents estimates of the 2015 bonus pools by club. The CBA dictates that draft bonus slots rise in line with MLB’s revenue growth. In 2014, television contracts raised baseball’s revenues significantly. Forbes estimates that MLB’s revenues grew by approximately 13 percent, meaning that draft bonus slots also should rise significantly. The following allotments are estimates, based on 13 percent growth, but the actual bonus pools have not been revealed and likely will be different from the estimated pools. According to BA sources, those have yet to be made available to clubs.

First Round
1. Diamondbacks
2. Astros (for failure to sign Brady Aiken)
3. Rockies
4. Rangers
5. Astros
6. Twins
7. Red Sox
8. White Sox
9. Cubs
10. Phillies
11. Reds
12. Marlins
13. Rays
14. Braves
15. Brewers
16. Yankees
17. Indians
18. Giants
19. Pirates
20. Athletics
21. Royals
22. Tigers
23. Cardinals
24. Dodgers
25. Orioles
26. Angels
Compensation Picks
27. Rockies (for losing FA Michael Cuddyer)
28. Braves (Ervin Santana)
29. Blue Jays (Melky Cabrera)
30. Yankees (David Robertson)
31. Giants (Pablo Sandoval)
32. Pirates (Russell Martin)
33. Royals (James Shields)
34. Tigers (Max Scherzer)
35. Dodgers (Hanley Ramirez)
36. Orioles (Nelson Cruz)
Competitive Balance Round A
37. Astros (via Marlins)
38. Rockies
39. Cardinals
40. Brewers
41. Braves (via Padres)
42. Indians
Second Round
43. Diamondbacks
44. Rockies
45. Rangers
46. Astros
47. Cubs
48. Phillies
49. Reds
50. Marlins
51. Padres
52. Rays
53. Mets
54. Braves
55. Brewers
56. Blue Jays
57. Yankees
58. Nationals
59. Indians
60. Mariners
61. Giants
62. Pirates
63. Athletics
64. Royals
65. Tigers
66. Cardinals
67. Dodgers
68. Orioles
69. Nationals
70. Angels
Competitive Balance Round B
71. Reds
72. Mariners
73. Twins
74. Orioles
75. Braves (via Diamondbacks)
Third Round
76. Diamondbacks
77. Rockies
78. Rangers
79. Astros
80. Twins
81. Red Sox
82. Cubs
83. Phillies
84. Reds
85. Marlins
86. Padres
87. Rays
88. Mets
89. Braves
90. Brewers
91. Blue Jays
92. Yankees
93. Indians
94. Mariners
95. Giants
96. Pirates
97. Athletics
98. Royals
99. Tigers
100. Cardinals
101. Dodgers
102. Orioles
103. Nationals
104. Angels
Supplemental Round
105. Cardinals (for not signing Trevor Megill)
Rounds 4-40
Red Sox
White Sox
Blue Jays
Notes: The Padres forfeited No. 13 for James Shields; The Mets forfeited pick No. 15 for Cuddyer; The Twins forfeited their second-round pick for Santana; The White Sox forfeited their second-round pick for Robertson and third-round pick for Cabrera; The Red Sox forfeited their second-round pick for Sandoval and Competitive Balance Round B pick for Ramirez; The Blue Jays forfeited pick No. 17 for Martin; The Mariners forfeited pick No. 19 for Cruz; The Nationals forfeited pick No. 27 for Scherzer.

Astros $17,977,283
Rockies $14,549,880
Diamondbacks $14,176,076
Rangers $9,469,174
Braves $8,702,808
Yankees $8,205,043
Reds $8,094,981
Brewers $8,058,934
Orioles $7,986,953
Giants $7,820,504
Pirates $7,692,588
Twins $7,691,684
Cardinals $7,691,345
Cubs $7,547,609
Indians $7,528,625
Royals $7,499,358
Tigers $7,403,534
Phillies $7,363,080
Dodgers $7,235,955
Marlins $7,043,968
Rays $6,861,925
Red Sox $6,480,889
Athletics $5,668,645
Blue Jays $5,634,745
White Sox $5,540,051
Angels $5,418,011
Padres $5,393,603
Mariners $4,362,817
Mets $3,741,204
Nationals $3,697,360
TOTAL $232,538,632