Prospect Of The Day
Phoenix first baseman Josh Donaldson (Athletics) did most of the damage at the plate to help the Desert Dogs defeat the Solar Sox for the Arizona Fall League championship on Saturday afternoon.
Donaldson went 3-for-5 with a home run and four RBIs.
The home run was Donaldson’s seventh of the AFL and came off of Mesa righthander Tim Wood (Marlins).
Donaldson finished fall ball with a line of .288/.315/.452 over 104 at-bats.
Other Notable Performances
The Desert Dogs’ victory on Saturday was a rare feat because they won a game started by Mesa righthander Tommy Hanson (Braves).
Not that it was his fault, necessarily, but it’s pretty rare nonetheless and this game just happened to be the AFL championship game. Hanson did his part, giving up just one run on three hits while striking out eight and walking one over five innings. Mesa had a 3-1 lead when he left the game, but that’s when the wheels fell off for the Solar Sox. Mesa added another run in the top of the sixth, but in the bottom of the frame, the Desert Dogs rallied for five runs to go ahead 6-4 and then added four more in the bottom of the seventh in what would end up as the final score, 10-4. Coincidentally, the Solar Sox only lost one time in a game where Hanson was the starting pitcher, and it happened on Nov. 6 … against the Desert Dogs. So, of the three earned runs Hanson gave up this fall, he gave up two of them against Phoenix.
Despite his team losing the championship game, Hanson was virtually untouchable this fall. If you combine Hanson’s performance in the championship game to what he did during the AFL season, he went 5-0, 0.80 with 57 strikeouts and just eight walks over 33 2/3 innings. That would give him the most AFL strikeouts since Alan Benes fanned 62 over 56 innings in 1995. Of course, in 1995 AFL teams played 51 games. Today, they play only 38.
First baseman Jeff Larish (Tigers) had the best day at the plate for the Solar Sox, going 2-for-4 with a home run and two RBIs. Mesa shortstop Jason Donald (Phillies) went 2-for-5. . . Mesa DH Logan Morrison (Marlins) went 2-for-4 and right fielder Casper Wells (Tigers) went 2-for-4 with a double. . Third baseman Danny Valencia (Twins) went 2-for-3 with a triple and two RBIs and right fielder Evan Frey (Diamondbacks) went 2-for-4 with a double and three RBIs. . . The win gave the Desert Dogs their fifth-straight AFL championship.
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The Homerun was off of Tim Wood and not Tommy Hanson.
Posted by Joe | November 24, 2008 at 11:31 am | ShortcutYou’re right, Joe. Thanks for pointing that out.
Posted by Conor Glassey | November 24, 2008 at 1:32 pm | ShortcutQuestion in general about the AFL:
I’ve read that the AFL is where organizations send many of their best prospects, but then I’ve also read Baseball America writers posit that one shouldn’t read too much into the results from the AFL.
If a prospect puts in a good showing against such top competition, why would it be unwise to put much stock in his results?
Posted by Glenn | November 29, 2008 at 11:25 am | ShortcutGlenn,
There are two important reasons not to put too much stock into AFL performance. The first reason is that players accumulate far less playing time in the AFL than they do during the minor league season. The second is the league’s wild offensive environment.
Tampa Bay’s Rhyne Hughes, for example, had a very good performance in the AFL and hit .394/.432/.697, but it was in 118 plate appearances. During the regular season with Double-A Montgomery, Hughes had 450 plate appearances, nearly four times as many PAs as he had in the AFL. So to keep Hughes’ outstanding AFL performance record in perspective, we need to give his 2008 minor league performance record a 4:1 weight. There’s nothing wrong with paying attention to AFL performance; the problem is when people treat the AFL as a separate season and give it equal weight to a full minor league season.
Another important consideration is that the offensive environment in the AFL is extremely high. This year, the league averaged 6.9 runs per nine innings (per team); the league average in MLB this year was 4.7 runs per nine innings, and even the hitter-friendly California League was “only” 5.2 runs per nine. We can account for that, but it’s important to remember how much the AFL inflates offense when you look at the raw numbers and see a hitter is batting .300/.365/.475; after all, that’s just about the league average.
This is of course to say nothing of the importance of first-hand visual observation and scouting reports, just a reminder that any “AFL breakout” performance is almost always more illusion than reality.
Posted by Ben Badler | November 29, 2008 at 3:14 pm | ShortcutThanks for the response, Ben. As an Astros, I’m always looking for reasons to hope. Reading on this site and others about the dismal shape the franchise is like watching my retirement fund go down the toilet, and so I — like other fans of the team — are left grasping at our few remaining straws.
Posted by Glenn | December 1, 2008 at 8:39 am | Shortcut