Midseason Top 50 Prospects List



Baseball America's Midseason Top 50 Prospects list is one of our tougher rankings because it's a moving target. We considered adding 2012 draftees but didn't because the signing deadline still comes after the July 1 midpoint of the season. Prospects have to have (a) not used up their rookie eligibility and (b) be in the minor leagues on our July 1 cutoff date. That date kept the likes of Yasmani Grandal, Martin Perez and Drew Pomeranz off the list.

Subscribers can read further analysis of these players, as well as looks at breakout prospects of the first half, prospects who have disappointed and those who are stuck on the disabled list.


1. Dylan Bundy, rhp, Orioles
2. Jurickson Profar, ss, Rangers
3. Wil Myers, of, Royals
4. Taijuan Walker, rhp, Mariners
5. Danny Hultzen, lhp, Mariners
6. Gerrit Cole, rhp, Pirates
7. Tyler Skaggs, lhp, Diamondbacks
8. Jose Fernandez, rhp, Marlins
9. Manny Machado, ss, Orioles
10. Zack Wheeler, rhp, Mets
11. Mike Olt, 3b, Rangers
12. Nick Castellanos, 3B, Tigers
13. Matt Barnes, rhp, Red Sox
14. Francisco Lindor, ss, Indians
15. Jameson Taillon, rhp, Pirates
16. Archie Bradley, rhp, Diamondbacks
17. Nolan Arenado, 3b, Rockies
18. Oscar Taveras, of, Cardinals
19. Travis D'Arnaud, c, Blue Jays
20. Shelby Miller, rhp, Cardinals
21. Christian Yelich, of, Marlins
22. Miguel Sano, 3b, Twins
23. Jonathan Singleton, 1b, Astros
24. Julio Teheran, rhp, Braves
25. Javier Baez, ss, Cubs
26. Carlos Martinez, rhp, Cardinals
27. Billy Hamilton, ss, Reds
28. Mason Williams, of, Yankees
29. Jake Odorizzi, rhp, Royals
30. Gary Sanchez, c, Yankees
31. Xander Bogaerts, ss, Red Sox
32. Jackie Bradley, of, Red Sox
33. Matt Davidson, 3b, Diamondbacks
34. Matt Harvey, rhp, Mets
35. Nick Franklin, ss, Mariners
36. Starling Marte, cf, Pirates
37. Jake Marisnick, cf, Blue Jays
38. Anthony Gose, cf, Blue Jays
39. Tyler Austin, of, Yankees
40. Alen Hanson, ss, Pirates
41. Cody Buckel, rhp, Rangers
42. James Paxton, lhp, Mariners
43. Jean Segura, 2b/ss, Angels
44. Kolten Wong, 2b, Cardinals
45. George Springer, of, Astros
46. Bubba Starling, of, Royals
47. Hak-Ju Lee, ss, Rays
48. Tyler Thornburg, rhp, Brewers
49. Zach Lee, rhp, Dodgers
50. Jedd Gyorko, 3b, Padres
 



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42 Comments

Where is Rymer Liriano?

My top 3 would be
1. Myers – the guy is KILLING IT!
2. Bundy – After a terrific start and promotion, He went from awesome to pretty good.
3. Profar – Probably the same reasons BA placed him third.

no way should danny hultzen be above gerrit cole or jamison taillon.  danny has a soft arm with no upside.  he has maxed out his potential and i dont see him every being above a 3rd started.  tho only reason why cole or taillon wont be a #1 is cause they will both be in the same rotation.  was equally surprised at arizonas trevor bauer being above these two.  not on list now cause hes in the majors.  his first two starts didn't warrant a top prospect rating. it will be interesting to see were trevor ranks once arizona sends him back to the minors.  last but not least anyone not ranking luis herridia in the top 50 i question their knowledge of the game.  the kid just turned 17 and he is 6-6 with a fastball topping out 98, which in a year will hit triple digits with consitency and accuracy.  he's a child dominating a mans game.

Luis Heredia has what 3 starts in short season ball, let's relax a bit.

Surprised Teheran is ranked higher than Matt Harvey at this stage of their careers.  Harvey is suddenly handling AAA while Teheran gets rocked every start

not all pirate fans are as… misunderstanding… as ben.
Just saying. 
You could probably argue Cole over Hultzen (and i'm sure BA writers did… seeing as they are right next to each other), but Taillon is still much more raw than either and hasn't had great results this year the last time i checked.
I am very excited about Heredia as well. But he's done nothing to deserve a top 50 ranking yet.  probably top 100 based on tools alone.  i'm sure we'll see Heredia up there in the top 50 in the next few years though from what i've seen/read.
I'm extremely pleased to see that Alen Hanson made the top 50.  what a breakout year!

Archie Bradley at 16, all of the big 3 Lansing pichers have out pitched him by a country mile.
 
OT at 18 and Arenado at 17, please

Are injured players not eligible for this list?  I'm wondering whether Manny Banuelos' star has fallen so far that he's not top 50 or if he's just not eligible due to injury.

Where are Noah Syndergaard, Aaron Sanchez and Justin Nicolino on this list? Can't believe not one of these guys did not make this list . .

J.J. Cooper handled the lion's share of work on this Midseason Top 50, but I want to stress one thing about this ranking (and just about every other ranking we publish): This list represents industry consensus and not strictly the opinion of BA staff.

J.J. solicited opinion from several dozen evaluators to find out how people who get paid to evaluate pro talent would rank the best prospects in the game. So before you express indignation that your favorite organization's prospect doesn't appear here, just keep that in mind.

@ Nick

We didn't forget about Manny Banuelos. His name appears twice in our subscriber-only Midseason Top 50 content.

In the main ranking with analysis feature: http://www.baseballamerica.com.....13645.html

And in the stock up, stock down piece: http://www.baseballamerica.com.....13646.html

Matt, if you are still checking this

1.  Hak-ju Lee at 47?  Are people really giving him that much credit for one good month?  Don't get me wrong – still think he's an eventual big leaguer, a good glove shortstop that hits, say, .260-.270/.340-.350/.340-360 type, a valuable asset, but a top 50 prospect?  Just don't see it.
 
2.  Never understood the fascination that people have with Jedd Gyorko.  I don't buy that his power has substantially improved from AA/AAA, and believe that is PCL inflated.  He strikes me as a Joe Randa-ish type, a guy that performs but really doesn't do anything exceptionally well.  Do you think he's going to hit for a high enough average to give him a plus attribute?  Have my doubts on that. (Perhaps Joe Randa was a bit under-rated for his career, but the point is, Gyorko looks like a guy decent in a lot of areas, but not great in any).

@ TJ
I like Gyorko as an average regular at third base, .275-.285, solid on-base skills with 15 homers in a neutral environment. Does he have a plus attribute? Maybe not, but his floor is lower than many prospects.

Kinda surprised Jacob Turner's not up there…I know he was called up in late june, but from what I can find, he was sent back down on the 24th, so he should be eligible, right?

Matt,
If we were going to have a next 5…who was #51 through #55?
And how long until we see Mr. Myers and Mr. Odorizzi in Kansas City?

J.J. and Matt: No Brad Miller? Despite his three-ring circus performances in the field this season, he still has numbers that make him a viable candidate for the Top 50. Thoughts?

With everybody and their brother posting top prospect lists, what are BA's distinctives? Most people don't have the industry sources, but at least a few others do.  Everyone has their biases and blind spots, players they undervalue, players they fall in love with.  By virtue of the committee approach and discussion process, BA has been able to mostly avoid extreme rankings and hasty overreactions.  
I am not indignant about a particular player being omitted/underrated, nor am I outraged at any particular player being ranked too highly.  I am disappointed at the quality of the work.  I can appreciate Mr. Cooper's opinions for what they are.  They just aren't representative of the thorough approach we expect from BA.
There are several rankings that don't seem to make sense, and I mean by BA criteria, not by mine.  For example, look at the grade and ranking of  Jose Fernandez in February. Look at the grades of the highly ranked players from the same list.  Think about what Fernandez would need to do for the remainder of the season in order to maintain his current position  Look where Fernandez gets ranked next winter.  Then try to explain where he is on this list.  The explanation is that this list does not meet the standards I have come to expect from BA.  It is very apparent that the usual perspective and balance are not present.
Producing excellent work got BA to the top of the industry.  Being at the top, however, does not guarantee that all the work will be excellent.  Defending sub-standard work erodes the consumer confidence that is the foundation of BA's success.  

Wilmer Flores has improved his stock, no? Was he in consideration for this list?

Great list, thank you! My inquiry is on Brett Jackson and his fall from grace compared to the Top 100 list put out in February. What are you seeing that has so many other OF's (Gose, Marisnick, Marte, J,.Bradley even) passing him up? Certainly he has shown regression in the first half of this year, but his counting stats are still there with a 20-20 plus season in AAA. Secondly, who might be a comp for Jackson? Rasmus?

This is a "Mid season" top prospect list right? Has any of these so called "industry consensus" evaluators seen Aaron Sanchez pitch and his numbers so far? or know how old he is, his size and his fastball? He should easily be on at least the back end of this list. Especially if James Paxton and Zach Lee make the cut. That's a blatant oversight on BA's part and the "so called" experts and talent evaluators of this mid season evaluation. 

No Tony Cingrani?

Any idea where Soler would fit on this list were he eligible?

Billy Hamilton at #27 is insulting. The kid has almost 100 steals at the All Star break!!! I don't recall any player since Vince Coleman with as much skill and aggressiveness on the base paths.
Hamilton will eventually move to center field in the majors but he is a future MLB steals leader while 50% of the guys in front of him will flame out or eventually be traded.

Hamilton is OLD for single A  —   Joey Gathright was just as fast.

Taijuan #4 overall?!?!? 
Taijuan — currently streaking 7 straight starts of 3+ Runs, < 6 IP

I think Jackie Bradley Jr. should be higher considering his numbers from salem and portland…but overall good list.

Why is Adam Eaton not on this list? His minor league numbers are very impressive. With the lack of quality leadoff hitters in The Show, this kid deserves more recognition.

To the folks complaining about the Lansing big three not being on there:
 It's irrelevant. The Blue Jays organization has them. No one else. What a certain group of evaluators think in terms of order etc is irrelevant. Obviously all three would be on the top 100.

You got to be kidding me.  You guys put Oscar Taveras at #18.  He has showed that he is betting for his age than any other hitter except Myers including Profar.  He hits for better average than Profar and has way more power.  Oh yeah he is only about 8 months older than Profar.  You guys must be blind.  Come on you put Nolan Arenado, Machado,Nick Castello.  Mike Olt is to old for what he is doing compared to Taveras.  Taveras has put up better numbers than all these guys and the only one that is younger than him is Profar and not by much.  You guys have him #74 on the BA 100.  I think he has more Power potencial than even your beloved Sano.  The only reason Sano hits for power and not average is because he swings at everything.  Oscar does it all.  Go Oscar.

Steve, not entirely sure i agree with the 18 (i also agree taveras should be higher), but there are some concerns.  On one hand taveras really only cares about hitting, which is a good thing to think about, but is still only part of the game.  Also, he has somewhat of an unorthodox swing so many experts are concerned it might not create contact at higher levels.  Finally, he enjoys swinging and therefore there is improvement that could be made for his eye (his BB:K is 24:44).  Concerning Profar, his position is more valuable and he has a much better eye (39:49).

I was intrigued by the comparison between Taveras and Vlad Guerrero.  If Guerrero could succeed with an unorthodox approach, maybe Oscar can do the same.
Who knows?

Bundy is a beast

Are scouts really impressed with Billy Hamilton the ball palyer or Billy Hamilton the track star?  While he may have + + speed I don't see much more in him.  He certainly has a 2B arm at best, evidenced by his workout and play in the Futures game.  All these high rankings for a pinch runner seems excessive or does he seriously have a chance to hit and field at the big league level? 

I was amazed that Trevor Rosenthal wasnt on this list.  This kid has great sinking action on his hard fastball.  I also think that Taveras is listed too low.  The kid just skipped a full level and is in the running for the player of the year for his league.  To say he doesnt care about other aspects of the game other than hitting is shameful.  That has been his main focus this year and because of that he is even getting looks at CF.  Glad to see Profar has moved up to #2.  For his age he is very complete.  I have been impressed everytime I watch him.  I dont see any problem with him being an allstar shortstop other than being blocked by Andrus.

Good list, everyone is going to debate things, but whatever. Anyone who think Profar shoul be anywhere but #1, and it's by a mile, has no business talking.
 
As someone already mentioned a plus defensive and arm SS. 
 
Taveras swings at everything and is not even a good fielder.
 
He is ranked just where he should be.
 
Arenado is still the top 3B prospect in my book, pitchers are so hard to rate it doesn't matter…guess some people don't realize most of them are working on pitches and command in the minors, not necessarily trying to pitch just for THAT game.

How in the world is Daniel Straily not listed?  I guess having a sub 1.5 FIP and leading all of baseball (Majors included) in strike outs is not a big deal…

For real, how can the baseball world's leading strikeout pitcher NOT be listed. Dan Straily has torn his way through every level of the minors this year and'll likely be called up in the next few weeks and he doesn't make the top 50 midseason?

I was surprised to see Tyler Thornburg on the Top 50 over some other Brewer Prospects such as Wily Peralta, Tyler Jungmann, or Jed Bradley.  I understand Jungmann and Bradley dont have much experience but what about Peralta?

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where's alex meyer? he had a really good year.

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