Late April Stat Pack



Warning: The following post is current up through Wednesday's games only. An issue deadline yesterday interfered with a more timely posting, but if response is favorable, we can revisit the idea in the future.

Seven Up, Seven Down: The Best And Worst Minor League Teams

Mickey Mantle wore it. Stars like J.D. Drew, Matt Holliday, Joe Mauer, Jose Reyes and Ivan Rodriguez wear it today. Even George Costanza had a thing for the number seven.

Seven also happens to be a good cut-off when stacking up the winning percentages of the 120 full-season minor league teams. To this point, the top seven clubs have compiled a winning percentage of .700 or better, while the stragglers all hover near .300.

TOP SEVEN MINOR LEAGUE TEAMS • THROUGH APRIL 28
NO TEAM W L PCT LEAGUE LVL ORG STREAK LAST 10
1 Lake County 15 5 .750 Midwest LoA Indians W1 6-4
  Tennessee 15 5 .750 Southern AA Cubs L2 7-3
3 Winston-Salem 14 5 .737 Carolina HiA White Sox W3 8-2
4 Durham 15 6 .714 International AAA Rays W1 7-3
5 Nashville 14 6 .700 Pacific Coast AAA Brewers W5 6-4
  Quad Cities 14 6 .700 Midwest LoA Cardinals L2 6-4
  Salem 14 6 .700 Carolina HiA Red Sox W2 6-4

The Captains have one of the youngest pitching staffs in the Midwest League, but it's really been the Joe Gardner and Bo Greenwell show in Eastlake, Ohio. Gardner, a righthander taken by the Indians in the third round last year from UC Santa Barbara, has dominated in his first four pro starts, striking out 32 while walking eight over 18 innings. His ground-to-fly out ratio registers at 10.0. Gardner is 22, though, so he might not be long for low Class A. Greenwell has developed much more deliberately. He's 21 and is repeating low Class A, having spent his first two years in the Gulf Coast League. A sixth-round pick in ’07 from a Fort Myers, Fla, high school, he's batting .403/.476/.639 through 19 games and leads the MWL in average, on-base percentage, RBIs (22), hits (29) and runs (20). Oh, and he's also the son of 12-year big league veteran Mike Greenwell.

The Double-A Smokies feature three regulars who sport an OPS north of 1.000: catcher Robinson Chirinos, second baseman/corner outfielder Tony Thomas and shortstop Starlin Castro, the Cubs' top prospect. Castro's warp-speed development continues this season at age 20. Through 19 games, he's batting .370/.416/.593 with a homer, seven doubles, four triples and 18 RBIs. On the pitching side, righthander Andrew Cashner has polished a curveball and changeup to go with his strong fastball. He's gone 1-1, 3.33 and leads the SL with 29 strikeouts in 24 innings.

BOTTOM SEVEN MINOR LEAGUE TEAMS • THROUGH APRIL 28
NO TEAM W L PCT LEAGUE LVL ORG STREAK LAST 10
1 New Britain 4 15 .211 Eastern AA Twins L5 2-8
2 Bowling Green 5 15 .250 Midwest LoA Rays L1 2-8
3 Birmingham 5 14 .263 Southern AA White Sox W2 3-7
4 Carolina 6 14 .300 Southern AA Reds L10 0-10
  West Michigan 6 14 .300 Midwest LoA Tigers L5 1-9
5 Fort Myers 6 13 .316 Florida State HiA Twins W1 4-6
  Lancaster 6 13 .316 California HiA Astros L2 5-5
  Myrtle Beach 6 13 .316 Carolina HiA Braves W1 2-8
  Round Rock 6 13 .316 Pacific Coast AAA Astros L2 4-6
  Tulsa 6 13 .316 Texas AA Rockies L3 4-6

New Britain's early futility is a bit puzzling when one considers the number of prospects populating the roster. They have an outfield of Joe Benson, Ben Revere and Rene Tosoni, while ’06 first-rounder Chris Parmelee mans first base. Still, the Rock Cats rank last in the EL in runs, home runs (just six), average and slugging. Their pitching staff hasn't been much better—just two EL teams have allowed more runs per game than has New Britain. But a rotation featuring David Bromberg (17-4 K-BB in 18 IP), Deolis Guerra (zero walks in 18 IP), Carlos Gutierrez (16-6 K-BB in 19) and Tyler Robertson (3.18 ERA) probably will thrive in time, if given solid defensive support.

Power Index

MLB Advanced Media, our statistician, provided a nifty new tool for us to play with this season. We can now filter category leaders by date range, either by league or by classification. So if we want to find last week's home run leader in the Midwest League, well now we can. The answer: first baseman Jerry Sands with five for Great Lakes. Likewise, we can quickly discern that Northwest Arkansas righty Aaron Crow, with six, issued the most walks among Double-A pitchers last week.

So as I thought of ways to apply this new tool in a meaningful way, I hit upon the idea of a power index—or something that would measure recent performance of Triple-A players and hint at which of them may be in line for a big league callup, if the stars align. For the first test run, I settled on isolated power for batters and strikeout rate for pitchers, each measured over the past 10 days, to capture a snapshot of the best performers. After all, what gets more attention than extra-base hits or strikeouts?

Here, we're placing triples on equal footing as doubles so as not to skew the results toward fast players, and we're using strikeouts per batter faced for pitchers, so that high-walk hurlers don't benefit on account of more strikeout opportunities. Also, Triple-A players are separated along league lines. The offensive contexts are so different that we need International and Pacific Coast leaders.

TOP ISOLATED POWER IN TRIPLE-A • APRIL 19-28
NO IL BATTER, POS TEAM ORG AGE ACQUIRED AB 2B 3B HR ISO
1 #Lambin, Chase, 3b Syracuse WAS 30 MiLB FA 34 3 0 4 .441
2 *Richard, Chris, 1b Durham TB 35 MiLB FA 29 3 0 3 .414
3 *Johnson, Dan, 3b/lf Durham TB 30 MLB FA 35 2 0 4 .400
4 *Freeman, Freddie, 1b Gwinnett ATL 20 2007 (2) 39 2 1 4 .385
5 Wells, Casper, cf Toledo DET 25 2005 (14) 34 1 0 4 .382
NO PCL BATTER, POS TEAM ORG AGE ACQUIRED AB 2B 3B HR ISO
1 *Lubanski, Chris, lf Las Vegas TOR 25 MiLB FA 24 2 0 3 .458
2 McBryde, Mike, cf Fresno SF 25 2006 (5) 23 4 0 2 .435
3 *Wallace, Brett, 1b Las Vegas TOR 23 Trade ('09) 35 3 0 4 .429
4 *Snyder, Brad, rf Iowa CHC 27 MiLB FA 32 4 0 3 .406
5 Arencibia, J.P., c Las Vegas TOR 24 2007 (1) 30 3 0 3 .400

Ah yes, it's nice to be young and in Las Vegas. Wait, just four of those games took place in Vegas, you say? True, but the remainders took place in Salt Lake and Colorado Springs. And on to the pitchers . . .

TOP STRIKEOUT PERCENTAGES IN TRIPLE-A • APRIL 19-28
NO IL PITCHER TEAM ORG AGE ACQUIRED TBF SO BB HR PCT
1 *Slaten, Doug Syracuse WAS 30 Waivers ('09) 25 10 0 0 40%
2 *Thomas, Justin Indianapolis PIT 26 Waivers ('09) 31 10 1 0 32%
3 Arrieta, Jake Norfolk BAL 24 2007 (5) 50 16 4 0 32%
4 Delaney, Rob Rochester MIN 25 NDFA ('06) 32 10 3 1 31%
5 Torres, Carlos Charlotte CWS 27 2004 (15) 49 15 6 3 31%
NO PCL PITCHER TEAM ORG AGE ACQUIRED TBF SO BB HR PCT
1 Hacker, Eric Fresno SF 27 MiLB FA 44 16 1 0 36%
2 *Van Hekken, Andy Round Rock HOU 30 MiLB FA 43 14 1 0 33%
3 Godfrey, Graham Sacramento OAK 25 Trade ('07) 41 13 4 2 32%
4 Dillard, Tim Nashville MIL 26 '02 (34 D/F) 26 8 0 0 31%
5 O'Sullivan, Sean Salt Lake LAA 22 '05 (3 D/F) 47 13 3 1 28%


Comments

Comments will be monitored prior to being added to the site. Comments that include profanity or personal attacks or other inappropriate comments or material will be rejected. Additionally, entries that are unsigned or contain "signatures" by someone other than the actual author will be removed.

We have chosen to open up commenting to everyone, so comment away! We want to hear from each and every one of you! Leave a comment.

3 Comments

I thought New Britian was a Twins affiliate?  You're showing the Blue Jays.

Yes, of course. Twins it is. That was some typo.

How about RHP Marquis Fleming with Charlotte (High-A, Tampa Bay):
44 outs recorded – 27 via strikeout (61%).


What Are Your Thoughts?

• Line and paragraph breaks are automatic
• Your e-mail address will never be displayed










About This Blog

  • The Prospects Blog is a source of frequent updates about prospects and action around the minor leagues. If you have questions or comments you can e-mail them to prospectsblog@baseballamerica.com.

Categories

Archives

Syndicate This Blog

Blogs

BaseballAmerica.com

Search This Blog