The Top 100 Prospects list is the culmination of our offseason prospect coverage, which begins with our reviews of the top talent in each minor league and proceeds with ranking the talent in each major league farm system. Our staffers and correspondents talk to general managers, managers, scouting directors, farm directors, scouts, coaches and other people in the game. Four people contributed to the voting this year: Co-Editors Will Lingo and John Manuel, executive editor Jim Callis and assistant editor Conor Glassey. Each person compiled a top 150 list, and we then reviewed the composite numbers and made adjustments before locking down the final list.
The rankings follow our standard prospect guidelines, which means any player who has not exceeded 130 at-bats, 50 innings or 30 pitching appearances in the major leagues (without regard to service time) is eligible. As always, our view is not necessarily to what a player will do this season, but what his ultimate major league ceiling is, weighed against the likelihood that he will reach that ceiling.
| 01 | Jason Heyward, of, Braves |
| 02 | Stephen Strasburg, rhp, Nationals |
| 03 | Mike Stanton, of, Marlins |
| 04 | Jesus Montero, c, Yankees |
| 05 | Brian Matusz, lhp, Orioles |
| 06 | Desmond Jennings, of, Rays |
| 07 | Buster Posey, c, Giants |
| 08 | Pedro Alvarez, 3b, Pirates |
| 09 | Neftali Feliz, rhp, Rangers |
| 10 | Carlos Santana, c, Indians |
| 11 | Dustin Ackley, of/1b/2b, Mariners |
| 12 | Alcides Escobar, ss, Brewers |
| 13 | Justin Smoak, 1b, Rangers |
| 14 | Madison Bumgarner, lhp, Giants |
| 15 | Domonic Brown, of, Phillies |
| 16 | Starlin Castro, ss, Cubs |
| 17 | Martin Perez, lhp, Rangers |
| 18 | Jeremy Hellickson, rhp, Rays |
| 19 | Aaron Hicks, of, Twins |
| 20 | Logan Morrison, 1b, Marlins |
| 21 | Ryan Westmoreland, of, Red Sox |
| 22 | Aroldis Chapman, lhp, Reds |
| 23 | Tyler Matzek, lhp, Rockies |
| 24 | Casey Kelly, rhp, Red Sox |
| 25 | Kyle Drabek, rhp, Blue Jays |
| 26 | Jacob Turner, rhp, Tigers |
| 27 | Brett Wallace, 3b/1b, Blue Jays |
| 28 | Chris Carter, of/1b, Athletics |
| 29 | Michael Taylor, of, Athletics |
| 30 | Michael Saunders, of, Mariners |
| 31 | Lonnie Chisenhall, 3b, Indians |
| 32 | Freddie Freeman, 1b, Braves |
| 33 | Christian Friedrich, lhp, Rockies |
| 34 | Wade Davis, rhp, Rays |
| 35 | Matt Moore, lhp, Rays |
| 36 | Jarrod Parker, rhp, Diamondbacks |
| 37 | Josh Bell, 3b, Orioles |
| 38 | Derek Norris, c, Nationals |
| 39 | Mike Montgomery, lhp, Royals |
| 40 | Aaron Crow, rhp, Royals |
| 41 | Jason Castro, c, Astros |
| 42 | Tanner Scheppers, rhp, Rangers |
| 43 | Todd Frazier, of/2b/3b, Reds |
| 44 | Nick Hagadone, lhp, Indians |
| 45 | Yonder Alonso, 1b, Reds |
| 46 | Dee Gordon, ss, Dodgers |
| 47 | Casey Crosby, lhp, Tigers |
| 48 | Chris Withrow, rhp, Dodgers |
| 49 | Zack Wheeler, rhp, Giants |
| 50 | Shelby Miller, rhp, Cardinals |
| 51 | Julio Teheran, rhp, Braves |
| 52 | Grant Green, ss, Athletics |
| 53 | Donavan Tate, of, Padres |
| 54 | Reid Brignac, ss, Rays |
| 55 | Jared Mitchell, of, White Sox |
| 56 | Jennry Mejia, rhp, Mets |
| 57 | Simon Castro, rhp, Padres |
| 58 | Wilson Ramos, c, Twins |
| 59 | Brett Lawrie, 2b, Brewers |
| 60 | Tyler Flowers, c, White Sox |
| 61 | Kyle Gibson, rhp, Twins |
| 62 | Ike Davis, 1b, Mets |
| 63 | Zach Britton, lhp, Orioles |
| 64 | Jason Knapp, rhp, Indians |
| 65 | Alex White, rhp, Indians |
| 66 | Dan Hudson, rhp, White Sox |
| 67 | Tim Beckham, ss, Rays |
| 68 | Alex Colome, rhp, Rays |
| 69 | Arodys Vizcaino, rhp, Braves |
| 70 | Josh Vitters, 3b, Cubs |
| 71 | Jhoulys Chacin, rhp, Rockies |
| 72 | Mike Leake, rhp, Reds |
| 73 | Jiovanni Mier, ss, Astros |
| 74 | Brett Jackson, of, Cubs |
| 75 | Josh Reddick, of, Red Sox |
| 76 | Austin Jackson, of, Tigers |
| 77 | Fernando Martinez, of, Mets |
| 78 | Chad James, lhp, Marlins |
| 79 | Tony Sanchez, c, Pirates |
| 80 | Mike Moustakas, 3b, Royals |
| 81 | Travis d'Arnaud, c, Blue Jays |
| 82 | Jaff Decker, of, Padres |
| 83 | Adam Moore, c, Mariners |
| 84 | Hank Conger, c, Angels |
| 85 | Mike Trout, of, Angels |
| 86 | Austin Romine, c, Yankees |
| 87 | Lars Anderson, 1b, Red Sox |
| 88 | Wilmer Flores, ss, Mets |
| 89 | Mat Gamel, 3b, Brewers |
| 90 | James Darnell, 3b, Padres |
| 91 | Jordan Lyles, rhp, Astros |
| 92 | Drew Storen, rhp, Nationals |
| 93 | Phillippe Aumont, rhp, Phillies |
| 94 | Miguel Sano, ss/3b, Twins |
| 95 | Andrew Cashner, rhp, Cubs |
| 96 | Thomas Neal, of, Giants |
| 97 | Peter Bourjos, of, Angels |
| 98 | Jay Jackson, rhp, Cubs |
| 99 | Jake Arrieta, rhp, Orioles |
| 100 | Noel Arguelles, lhp, Royals |
|
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NO Will MYERS???? really
Posted by Jim | February 23, 2010 at 11:48 am | ShortcutDitto. You have Will Myers ranked above Moustakas on your team top 10 but not on the 100 while Mous is. Why?
Posted by **** | February 23, 2010 at 11:53 am | ShortcutNo Zack Stewart either. If not for the Halladay trade the Jays would have had no prospects in the top 100. Did any other team have that happen?
Posted by Scott | February 23, 2010 at 11:56 am | ShortcutYou may have forgotten to proof read the list. I don't think Strasburg is the only rhp on this list.
Posted by H.W. Plainview | February 23, 2010 at 11:59 am | ShortcutThe omission of Trevor Reckling is absolutely ridiculous. I also think Manuel Banuelos and Jose Tabata should be on there. And why the hype over Zach Britton and Josh Bell all of the sudden? Britton's numbers aren't that great for his age, and Bell has been mediocre for the last four years.
Posted by Jeremy Barr | February 23, 2010 at 12:02 pm | ShortcutLet us know why you think someone should be on, people, instead of just writing names . . . For some of the comments so far—For me, Moustakas is a bit more of a known quantity than Myers, and Myers' position future is still up in the air. Myers has a higher ceiling, I think that's fair to say, but we try to balance ceiling with likelihood of reaching that ceiling.
Britton and Bell — not sudden, and Britton's numbers not great? How about his groundout ratio, Jeremy — it was outstanding, and squares very well with the scouting report, which if you read the Top 100, says he has the best sinker in the minors. Not sure how you're defining mediocre, but the reports we got on Bell all year were excellent, and as for performance, he slugged .470 in the MWL in 2007 (well above that league's average) and had a near-.900 OPS last year. Just two quick data points that are not mediocre, so I'm not sure where that's coming from.
Posted by John Manuel | February 23, 2010 at 12:13 pm | ShortcutJust wondering what the reasons were for Montero over Posey and Santana? Not all prospect lists have it in that order. I agree with this list, but just wondering what Baseball America's stance is.
Posted by H.W. Plainview | February 23, 2010 at 12:18 pm | ShortcutI think Zack Stewart should be on because in his first full year in the minors he made it to AAA. He had a total ERA of 1.89 and his K/9 increased at every level. Scouting reports indicate his fastball sits in the mid 90's and has future projection. Other top 100 lists list him in the 50-70 range
Posted by Scott | February 23, 2010 at 12:18 pm | ShortcutI don't agree with Matusz over Feliz. No GM in their right mind would trade Feliz for Matusz. Just look at what both did in their brief taste in The Show last year. This minor concern of whether Feliz will end up in the bullpen is not reason enough to penalize his ranking.
Posted by John D | February 23, 2010 at 12:23 pm | ShortcutWow…it hurts to see so many former Phillies on this list…
Posted by Mat | February 23, 2010 at 2:30 pm | ShortcutCan you give us a list of those that fell off (by not making the majors) and maybe a brief reason why? For instance, Ben Revere of the Twins.
Posted by Ian | February 23, 2010 at 2:38 pm | ShortcutI don't understand how you can leave out Scott Sizemore? Hit a .307 and .308 at his 2 stops last season(AA and AAA), and impressed in the AFL before getting hurt. The guy has the clear track for the 2B job in Detroit, had great offensive numbers last year, yet he can't make the top 100? I find that hard to believe.
And I also agree about Wil Myers. Not sure how guys like Jiovanni Mier from the High School 2009 draft class make the list ahead of him. Myers tore up his short stint in rookie ball, and was regarded by many as a top 5 high school bat from the 2009 class.
Posted by Dan | February 23, 2010 at 2:52 pm | ShortcutAbout where would Chris Tillman and Matt Latos appear on this list? They were just over the 50 inning limit.
Posted by Bryan | February 23, 2010 at 3:01 pm | ShortcutHow can Donomic Brown be ranked 15th and Fernando Martinez be ranked 77th Their production was similar last year Fernando played at triple a and Brown at double a and oh yea Fernando is two years younger
Posted by Stephen Klap | February 23, 2010 at 3:06 pm | ShortcutCouple of quick answers and thanks for the patience with our site, which wasn't 100 percent prepared for everyone's interest in the Top 100 today.
Posted by John Manuel | February 23, 2010 at 3:16 pm | Shortcut• Mier plays a premium position and should stay at SS. That, plus his strong debut, were big assets for him. Myers didn't miss by much but I touched on why he missed
• Scott Sizemore's not quite well-rounded enough for me, though it wouldn't surprise me for him to land on our Top 20 Rookies. I just think his ceiling—decent hitter, fringy defender at 2b—wasn't quite enough for me to rank him. I don't think he actually got any support in our offices.
• Revere didn't miss by much. Jim Callis and I recorded a podcast that sounds awful thanks to my poor technical skills; we'll try to do it again. But in the podcast we talked about Revere, and I think I wish he was on most of anyone who missed. He missed because there are questions about his defense and power; if you're grading him out, his speed and hit tools are both well above-average, his power and arm are both below or well-below, and his defense is fringy if not below. He's a tough call; our voting left him just out.
Can you help with why Matt Dominguez fell completely off the list? Was his offensive performance that disappointing as his glove is very well regarded by most?
Posted by Chris | February 23, 2010 at 3:20 pm | ShortcutIf Jordan Shafer had not had his torturous two-month run in Atlanta last summer, and in the process forfeited his eligibility for this list, would he have made your Top 100? In other words, who do you like more going forward, Shafer or, say, Peter Bourjos?
Posted by M.C. Antil | February 23, 2010 at 3:27 pm | ShortcutI'm curious to know your thoughts on Derek Norris. What doesn't he do that Castro, Posey and Santana do? After seeing all of them in person and then looking at the numbers, I have a hard time believing they have brighter futures than Norris, particularly since he is younger than all three. Was it the fact that he tired late in the season that soured you guys? Because before that his numbers were comparable to Montero's (.313/.410/.580 thru July).
Posted by Trace Wood | February 23, 2010 at 3:36 pm | ShortcutJose Iglesias? Was this an omission or do you have serious questions about his ability?
Posted by lance | February 23, 2010 at 3:37 pm | ShortcutIn the "lost podcast," Jim mentioned Dominguez as a guy he thought should have made it; for me his bat's so streaky, and frankly has been since high school, I'm less convinced he'll ever be a star and see him as more second-division regular, even with his good defense. He could have some poor offensive seasons as a big leaguer.
Posted by John Manuel | February 23, 2010 at 3:39 pm | ShortcutBourjos vs. Shafer . . . tough one . . . I honestly would have to go Shafer but he's tough to evaluate with what's gone on the last two years. Bourjos is a personal favorite but he also is unconventional with his swing and has some contact issues. I am pretty sure he'll be a big leaguer with his speed and defense; if he washed out offensively, it wouldn't be a surprise.
I missed Montero vs. Posey vs. Santana . . . Montero's bat wins that argument by quite a bit for all of us. It's top of the line power to go with a top of the line hit tool.
Posted by John Manuel | February 23, 2010 at 3:40 pm | ShortcutThe Cubs placement seems about where I figured/thought. I might've slid both Jacksons up a bit, but small quibble.
3 quick questions –
A) I know there are 20-25 HR expectations for Brett Jackson, but … both Brett and Josh have 65 power?
B) Jay Jackson's best tool is his fastball? His slider's his out pitch, and I've seen places classify that as a plus offering. Has his fastball improved that much? I know the velo sat more comfortably with 92-94, and that he reached back and hit mid-upper 90's a couple times, but still a bit surprised you chose fastball.
C) How close was Hak-ju Lee, and was there any specific reason you guys pointed to as to why he was off (arm strength issues, lack of power)?
Posted by Tony | February 23, 2010 at 3:43 pm | ShortcutSorry, didn't finish my thought earlier re:Norris. Was wondering why he ranked closer to Castro than to Santana/Posey. Thanks.
Posted by Trace Wood | February 23, 2010 at 3:44 pm | ShortcutTrace, Norris hasn't played above low Class A, which means he hasn't faced advanced pitching, he hasn't handled advanced pitching behind the plate, and his defense is behind all those guys you mentioned. Also, you used the word soured . . . he's No. 38! He's AHEAD of Jason Castro . . . I think we ranked him quite aggressively, actually.
Jose Iglesias—again, from the "lost podcast," just missed the top 100 and got some 80 defense at SS grades from many of the evaluators and front-office types we talked to for our Top 100 story that Jim Callis did for his column, on the Best Tools in the Top 100. There were enough questions about his bat that we left him off, but it was reluctantly so for Jim.
Posted by John Manuel | February 23, 2010 at 3:45 pm | ShortcutOh … why the big gap between Jared Mitchell and Brett Jackson? The reports seem to suggest that Brett's discipline issues aren't as serious as some believed at the time of the draft. I believe BA's own report indicated that he had good strike zone awareness (can't think of the exact words right now). There were positive reports on his ability to handle the bat in situational purposes. He has better power potential than Jared, and he's a much better defensive centerfielder.
Posted by Tony | February 23, 2010 at 3:47 pm | Shortcutwhere would bryce harper rank on this list if he was eligible?
Posted by scott k. | February 23, 2010 at 3:47 pm | ShortcutJohn, thanks for your answer… I guess I was surprised that facing the low level competition worked against Norris since it apparently didn't work against Aaron Hicks or Ryan Westmoreland. I like the fact that you guys are aggressive when it comes to some low level guys as it gives a deeper vision of the future. Thanks again. Great job as always on the list and the Handbook.
Posted by Trace Wood | February 23, 2010 at 3:57 pm | ShortcutHas Eric Hosmer's star really fallen that far?
Posted by Mikey | February 23, 2010 at 3:59 pm | ShortcutMaybe it's just a difference in approach, but certainly a number of lists have had Hector Rondon in the 50s. Of course these are just rankings for fun, but I'm guessing that you have serious questions about his ceiling, considering how close he is to majors. I personally think his record (and age) would put him well above the collection of low-A fireballers.
Posted by Dave | February 23, 2010 at 4:05 pm | ShortcutObviously it has to be very tough doing a top 100, when there are easily 120 guys or more that people think can and should be on the list. There are so many factors that play into it, and that makes it all the more fun.
I appreciate the top 100 list, and have been anticipating this list for a long time. Thanks for putting it together, and thanks for answering the questions and comments from everyone.
Posted by Dan | February 23, 2010 at 4:06 pm | ShortcutI anticipate Casey Crosby in the top 15 next year-what do you think? This kid has the athleticism, great fastball, good curve, and hopefully a developing change piece. He has a tremendous attitude towards the game, and I just see big things in his future. Interested as to your educated guess as to where he lands in 2011 top 100? Thank you.
Out of curiosity why did you not respond to the Zack Stewart entry? Was able to see him last year and seems to be a few years away from being a solid number 2 starter…
Posted by Cory | February 23, 2010 at 4:11 pm | ShortcutHow far off was Bobby Borchering? i thought he had a chance at the list since he was rated by many as the best HS bat in the draft.
Posted by Sasha | February 23, 2010 at 4:15 pm | ShortcutRE: Rendon: Usually I like pitchers like him that command the fastball so well, but he also fits another category—RHPs with a breaking ball that's short—that makes me cautious. The fastball has to be very, very good for that profile to work. Guys I can think of who have pulled it off are guys like Curt Schilling, or late-career Roger Clemens. Rendon doesn't have that kind of fastball, even though it's his best pitch. I could see him more as a reliever in the future.
Posted by John Manuel | February 23, 2010 at 4:15 pm | Shortcut• Hosmer just didn't do anything encouraging last year, other than play. He got hurt, he had the eyes business . . . just nothing impressive. We haven't given up on him, but at the same time we didn't think he earned a Top 100 spot. FWIW, he was on one of our Top 100 lists but more in the 120 range for the rest of us.
Heyward's the real deal and we look forwarding to seeing him in Hotlanta. Great list…let's play two!
Posted by Lynn Seldon | February 23, 2010 at 4:24 pm | ShortcutMy bad on Stewart: He didn't miss by much either, and we liked him a lot at midseason, he nearly made our Top 50. I think we're a bit confused by how he's going to be used, with the Jays now saying he's going to start. He's both relieved and started, and more scouts we've talked to seem comfortable viewing him as a reliever than as a starter. He *could* be an impact reliever but he's going to have to close or be a premium setup guy to be a Top 100 guy. That reliever part is what kept him off, but he was discussed for sure.
Don't forget we have players chatting from 4 p.m. ET into the night with Jason Castro of the Astros leading it off at 4 p.m. I have to run but we'll try to answer more questions here later tonight/tomorrow.
Posted by John Manuel | February 23, 2010 at 4:26 pm | ShortcutRE: Crosby – Dan, I think Crosby could definitely pitch his way into the Top 15-20 range next year. You're right that he has the size, stuff & athleticism. Let's just wait and see how he does with a little longer leash against more-advanced competition.
Posted by Conor Glassey | February 23, 2010 at 5:00 pm | ShortcutRE: Jared Mitchell vs. Brett Jackson – the gap isn't all that big. After all, they're next to each other in the OF rankings.
RE: Hak-Ju Lee – He was pretty close. Callis & I both had him in the back half of our Top 100, but John & Will didn't have him in their Top 150, so he missed out.
How about Chris Heisey?
Based on the team top 10's, he would be first out for the Reds. He may not be the ceiling of a Jason Heyward, but has shown no reason why he won't be a valuable major leaguer. Along with that, he would also seem to have a somewhat higher floor than most of the guys on this list.
OPS of .900 in his AA/AAA season. Strong hitting carried over to AFL. K/BB went up in AAA, but it would seem to me more like wear down at the end of the season (he had also played Puerto Rican Winter Leauge the previous winter) rather than having been discovered by the pitchers. He seems like a guy who could very reasonably go 20/20 while playing Plus defense at any of the three outfield positions. My fear is that he could be a candidate to be a Top 50 next year after being left in Louisville where he will continue to rake while the reds accept mediocrity from Gomes/Dickerson and leaves him eligible for next year.
Posted by Adam | February 23, 2010 at 5:01 pm | ShortcutJust curious as to how close Ryan Kalish was to making the list. Thanks, and as always, great work on all of this.
Posted by Scott | February 23, 2010 at 5:02 pm | ShortcutI thought Mat Gamel had already reached rookie eligibility last year, reaching exactly 130 at bats. Wouldn't that make him ineligible for a list like this or do you use different criteria?
Posted by Jim McMahon | February 23, 2010 at 5:04 pm | ShortcutJust curious how close Jaime Garcia of the Cardinals was to making the list? I know he has had arm injuries in the past, but he has a very good curveball, I guess I'm wondering if it was just the arm questions, other things, or both?
Posted by Trevor | February 23, 2010 at 5:05 pm | ShortcutAnother question was how close was Matt Hobgood to making the top 100? He was a very high pick so I was wondering if he was at all close?
Jim- Gamel had 128 at-bats in 2009.
Posted by Nathan Rode | February 23, 2010 at 5:25 pm | ShortcutBut he had 2 at bats in 2008, bringing his total to 130, and therefore no longer rookie eligible, right?
Posted by Jim McMahon | February 23, 2010 at 5:41 pm | ShortcutAm quite surprised to see the O's Josh Bell rated so high.
Posted by JollyRoger | February 23, 2010 at 5:44 pm | Shortcut2 questions if I may.
1] Bell seems to struggle batting RH. Do you think he should discard the switch hitting?
2] How far off was Brandon Synder? Within the 150?
Thanks .
Heisey & Kalish were in the 130-150 range. Borchering, Myers, Revere, J. Garcia & Hobgood juuuust missed – they all ended up in the 101-110 range.
Posted by Conor Glassey | February 23, 2010 at 5:45 pm | ShortcutJake Arrieta seems low at 99. The numbers weren't great, but he still projects as a mid rotation starter, no?
Posted by Matt Bouldin | February 23, 2010 at 5:46 pm | ShortcutYou’re right, I missed that, but he hasn’t exceeded 130 at-bats. Exceeded being the key term.
Posted by Nathan Rode | February 23, 2010 at 5:49 pm | ShortcutOh ok, thanks for clearing that up. I thought once a player hit 130 AB (or 50 IP for that matter) they were no longer rookie-eligible. I didn't realize they had to exceed that.
Posted by Jim McMahon | February 23, 2010 at 5:53 pm | ShortcutThe one other guy that I had a question about was Brandon Allen, he was top 100 last year I believe, and performed well in AAA. How far off was he from making the list?
Posted by Trevor | February 23, 2010 at 6:04 pm | ShortcutHow close was Danny Duffy? Three pitch repertoire, good command, and throwing left-handed make him a safe bet to become a mid-rotation starter. It's hard for me to see how a guy like Peter Bourjos makes it over him.
Posted by Matt Bouldin | February 23, 2010 at 6:20 pm | ShortcutMontero is the best bat in the minors.
Posted by Thomas Robust | February 23, 2010 at 6:28 pm | ShortcutIf you were sure he could stay at catcher with average or even a bit below average defense, would he rank higher?
If you were sure he’d have to move to first base (or some other position [right field?]) or be a full time DH where would you place him on this list.
Thanks for the great job.
If you don't factor in risk and distance from the majors, which guys move up in the list dramatically? Who do you feel has the highest ceiling, even if they may not achieve it?
Posted by JoJo | February 23, 2010 at 6:41 pm | Shortcutreally interested to see your take on Donovon Tate — how long of a ETA would someone of his young skill set be
Posted by Spencer | February 23, 2010 at 8:08 pm | ShortcutManny Banuelos is the guy highest on my list not on here, but I understand that. He was down the Yankees list a ways. The lack of Borchering on the list surprises me. Looking at team rankings, he's the one I would have expected that wasn't here. On the other hand, Alex White surprises me all the way up at 65. He was 9th on the Indians list. Otherwise not much for shockers and seemed to follow team rankings fairly closely.
Posted by Matt | February 23, 2010 at 9:16 pm | ShortcutDid Max Stassi get any consideration?
All i have to say is if the Mets Prospects were simply on TB or Boston – they'd all be ranked in the top 20. And for petes sake can we stop with the Reid Brignac bandwagon? I mean what does this kid have on you guys that you have been touting him for the past 4 years and all he has done is get progressively worse – okay he has a nice glove – he is nothing more then a future KEVIN ELSTER!
FERNANDO WILL DOMINATE THIS YEAR!!
M-E-T-S! METS! METS! METS!
Posted by Sri | February 23, 2010 at 10:38 pm | ShortcutDid Jon Niese miss the list just because of his hamstring injury? I think he's generally underestimated. After a terrible start in AAA, Niese had a stretch of 9 starts in Buffalo where he only gave up 7 ER. When he really focuses on his effectiveness as a pitcher and how he uses and commands his pitches, Niese can be a great pitcher, and he will do that and he will be a great pitcher
Posted by Michael | February 23, 2010 at 11:43 pm | ShortcutDustin Ackley is a pretty good player.. Too bad that he is ranked at 11. I'm sure he will some up the ladder in a short time..
Posted by Lawyers | February 24, 2010 at 2:23 am | ShortcutI'm a Rays fan, but Reid Brignac is absurdly high at #54. I don't see how you can rate a guy that high who has no power, no speed, doesn't draw walks, hasn't hit above .300, has repeated AAA twice and is old for a prospect.
Posted by sweez | February 24, 2010 at 2:52 am | ShortcutWhat about Ivan de Jesus? He should be at least top-100.
Posted by Eugene | February 24, 2010 at 5:23 am | ShortcutMaybe jumping the gun here, but where will Edwin Salcedo end up that that the Braves have come to terms and all signs point towards him still being only 18?
Posted by D.J. | February 24, 2010 at 8:19 am | ShortcutRe: Mat Gamel – although he has not exceeded 130 ABs, I believe he has lost his rookie eligibility due to service time. BA is ignoring service time (see opening paragraph) so that's why he's still on the list.
Posted by Paul | February 24, 2010 at 9:57 am | Shortcut1. Wil Myers should be on here. The fact that he isn't can only be explained by his name being forgotten when assembling this list. Adam Moore is a decent catcher, but not where near the talent Myers is. And yes, his position is a question mark, but that didn't stop Montero, Frazier and a slew of others making the top 50. An frankly, with as strong of an arm as he has, and as athletic as he is, it would be hard for me to believe that he couldn't play catchers in the MLB before at least 2 or 3 other catchers on this list.
Posted by Ryan Kelley | February 24, 2010 at 10:49 am | ShortcutAlso, if he's not a known quantity, then why rank Chad James in the top 80, when he hasn't thrown a pitch in the minors. The same goes for Ackley, Miller and a few others, granted both are more talented than James.
2. Reckling could miss any Top 100 list easily– there's a handful of guys I would put on here before him. I agree with leaving him out, and would even but Fabio or Richards in front of him on a top 200.
3. I like Tom Neal a lot, but Wil Myers, Bobby Borchering, Matt Dominguez, Randall Delgado, Scott Sizemore, Anthony Rizzo, Tyler Flowers, Wilin Rosario, Craig Kimbrel, Wilmer Font and others all deserve to make this list before he does.
All and all I think this is a decent list. I like it better than Keith Law's. I think Daryl Jones is overrated, and so is Tabata. There's a good chance Tabata could be a line drive-hitting 25 year old, and if that's the case he's no prospect.
Storen at 92?
Posted by Bill | February 24, 2010 at 11:26 am | ShortcutNo Aroldis Chapman, Ian Desmond or any of the prospects the Jays got in the Halladay trade!?!?
Posted by Special K | February 24, 2010 at 12:14 pm | ShortcutIf Yu Darvish was eligible, where would he have ranked?
Posted by Matt | February 24, 2010 at 1:37 pm | ShortcutHey Special K, put down the pipe and check out #22 and #25.
Posted by HeavyHitter | February 24, 2010 at 3:35 pm | ShortcutRyan Kelly: They did not forget Wil Myers; he just didn’t make the list.
Posted by HeavyHitter | February 24, 2010 at 4:32 pm | ShortcutSpecialK – Blue Jays received Mike Taylor who is ranked 29th and traded him for Brett Wallace ranked 27th. Also Travis d'Arnaud came in at 81.
Posted by mikeyp | February 24, 2010 at 4:38 pm | ShortcutHey John Manuel, thanks for the insight re:Stewart… appreciate it and I guess I can see where you guys are coming from. Its just hard to imagine that he would be best utilized as possibly a setup man but who knows… anyways thanks for the insight.
Posted by Cory | February 25, 2010 at 2:46 pm | ShortcutWhat about Allen Craig?? I don't get why you guys don't seem to think much of him. Crazy solid numbers in '08 AA (.304/22/85/.867) and '09 AAA (.322/28/83/.921). Plus, with that crummy 3B situation in StL where they're handing the job to Freese who already failed in the same exact situation last year, Craig could be the answer — plus has nice position versatility. Also – Dominic Brown: I like his skill set as you guys do but he hasn't really done much to warrant #15?!? Thanks.
Posted by ericb | February 25, 2010 at 4:53 pm | ShortcutAlso — Jordan Schafer? He has the same skill set he had last year when you guys had him Top 20. As you know his disastrous '09 was due to a wrist injury. Still young and good and with the dicey situaiton in the ATL OF (Heyward notwithstanding), not sure why you guys are so sour on him all of a sudden. Or maybe he simply no longer qualifies for the list? (I would think he would if Gamel still does.)
Posted by ericb | February 25, 2010 at 4:57 pm | ShortcutApologies — I now see the disocurse above re: Schafer.
Posted by ericb | February 25, 2010 at 5:19 pm | ShortcutI don't understand how you can put kids on the list who have not played a significant amount of innings. especially pitchers.. Tyler Matzak ? over Tyler Skaggs.. I have seen both kids over the last 3 years. They have had several head to head meeting's, (RBI showcase, Jesse Flores All- Star Game and several scout games. ) and Skaggs has out pitched Tyler Matzak everytime. Now look at what the Tyler's have done in the minors. I think the numbers speak for themselves. Angels also have Fabio Martinez. where do you rate him.
Posted by big-o-daddy | February 25, 2010 at 8:07 pm | ShortcutWhere is Jenrry Mejia? He is only 19 can throw a mid 90's fastball can touch 99-100 mph. Also has an okay curve and good changeup. This guy hates mets prospects. Fernando Martinez at 77 Jenrry Mejia not on the list.
Posted by ray | February 26, 2010 at 3:20 pm | ShortcutMejia is at No. 56.
Posted by Nathan Rode | February 26, 2010 at 4:18 pm | ShortcutScoutingBook had a great post and review on this a couple of days ago that says a lot about why different lists get different results. They say a lot of nice things about the BA list.
Posted by Trevor Hellickson | February 27, 2010 at 5:33 am | Shortcuthttp://www.scoutingbook.com/bl.....2010-12510
[...] State to the 2009 College World Series championship, ranked No. 55 on Baseball America's Top 100 last month and ranked as the White Sox' No. 1 prospect this offseason. He got hurt Friday, [...]
Posted by Baseball America | Blog | Baseball America Prospects Blog | White Sox’ Mitchell Injured | March 13, 2010 at 3:55 pm | Shortcut