Stanford righthander Mark Appel entered the season as the No. 1 prospect on Baseball America's Top 100 list for the 2012 draft. With the top billing comes added scrutiny. Appel has premium stuff—including a fastball that touched 98 mph and a nasty slider—but just hasn't dominated like top pitchers from other years.
In fact, of all the college pitchers over the last 10 years who were drafted in top 5 picks or ranked as one of the top 5 picks in Baseball America's Draft Preview, Appel had the second-lowest strikeout rate during each pitcher's sophomore season.
| PITCHER | YEAR | IP | H | BB | SO | ERA | H/9 | SO/9 |
| David Price | 2006 | 110 | 92 | 43 | 155 | 4.16 | 7.5 | 12.7 |
| Stephen Strasburg | 2008 | 97 | 61 | 16 | 133 | 1.57 | 5.7 | 12.3 |
| Brian Matusz | 2007 | 123 | 98 | 37 | 163 | 2.85 | 7.2 | 11.9 |
| Drew Pomeranz | 2009 | 95 | 85 | 37 | 124 | 3.40 | 8.1 | 11.7 |
| Tim Lincecum | 2005 | 104 | 62 | 71 | 131 | 3.11 | 5.4 | 11.3 |
| Trevor Bauer | 2010 | 131 | 121 | 41 | 165 | 3.02 | 8.3 | 11.3 |
| Gerrit Cole | 2010 | 123 | 92 | 52 | 153 | 3.37 | 6.7 | 11.2 |
| Justin Verlander | 2003 | 116 | 94 | 43 | 139 | 2.40 | 7.3 | 10.8 |
| Chris Sale | 2009 | 89 | 83 | 27 | 104 | 2.72 | 8.4 | 10.5 |
| Danny Hultzen | 2010 | 107 | 75 | 24 | 123 | 2.78 | 6.3 | 10.3 |
| Jeff Niemann | 2003 | 137 | 96 | 35 | 156 | 1.70 | 6.3 | 10.2 |
| Kyle Gibson | 2008 | 87 | 86 | 23 | 96 | 3.84 | 8.9 | 9.9 |
| Bryan Bullington | 2001 | 108 | 106 | 19 | 119 | 3.50 | 8.8 | 9.9 |
| Mike Pelfrey | 2004 | 115 | 86 | 24 | 125 | 2.18 | 6.7 | 9.8 |
| Jered Weaver | 2003 | 133 | 87 | 20 | 144 | 1.96 | 5.9 | 9.7 |
| Phillip Humber | 2003 | 128 | 102 | 39 | 138 | 3.30 | 7.2 | 9.7 |
| Andrew Miller | 2005 | 97 | 78 | 52 | 104 | 2.98 | 7.2 | 9.6 |
| Brad Lincoln | 2005 | 102 | 124 | 25 | 106 | 4.76 | 10.9 | 9.4 |
| Greg Reynolds | 2005 | 51 | 51 | 17 | 51 | 5.08 | 9.0 | 9.0 |
| Daniel Moskos | 2006 | 54 | 44 | 21 | 54 | 2.52 | 7.3 | 9.0 |
| Brandon Morrow | 2005 | 25 | 32 | 20 | 25 | 9.36 | 11.5 | 9.0 |
| Tim Stauffer | 2002 | 146 | 110 | 34 | 140 | 1.54 | 6.8 | 8.6 |
| Kyle Sleeth | 2002 | 118 | 115 | 41 | 113 | 2.97 | 8.8 | 8.6 |
| Luke Hochevar | 2004 | 63 | 52 | 23 | 60 | 2.86 | 7.4 | 8.6 |
| Mark Appel | 2011 | 110 | 114 | 29 | 86 | 3.02 | 9.3 | 7.0 |
| Aaron Crow | 2007 | 118 | 109 | 33 | 90 | 3.59 | 8.3 | 6.9 |
This year, Appel is 2-1, 3.68 with 26 strikeouts and eight walks over 22 innings. Most of that damage came last night against Fresno State. Appel did pitch a complete game and struck out 11, but also gave up seven runs on eight hits.
"The thing about Appel is he's gotten a lot better every year," an American League scout said. "He's got exactly what you're looking for with a pitcher up that high—he has the size, pitchability and the big tools.
"With his tools, all the scouts want more. But I think we're starting to nitpick a little bit. He uses his changeup and he's got that nasty slider and a plus fastball, so a lot of guys are making weak contact and getting cheap hits that they're not going to get at the next level."
That said, Appel does still have room for improvement.
"His fastball is fairly true," the scout said. "There's not a lot of deception and when it's up, it's pretty straight. And he's a great control guy, so if kids are geared up to hit 95, they can hit him a little bit. He throws a lot of strikes, and he needs to work on commanding it and hitting his spots a little more. When he wants to pitch in, he really needs to get it in there. But people forget this is a guy that was throwing 87-91 in high school, so he's still growing into his body and learning how to pitch down in the zone."
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[...] hasn’t quite leaning up tο expectations fοr Stanford thіѕ season, writes Baseball America’s Conor Glassey. In particular, Appel’s K/9 rate іѕ lower thаn several recent high-drafted [...]
Posted by groovgames.com :: Blog Archive :: Quick Hits: Walden, Indians, A’s, Appel, Molina | March 4, 2012 at 6:06 am | Shortcut[...] Mark Appel hasn’t quite pitched up to anticipations for Stanford this period, writes Baseball America’s Conor Glassey. In certain, Appel’s K/nine rate is reduce than several modern higher-drafted pitchers for [...]
Posted by Quick Hits: Walden, Indians, A’s, Appel, Molina – MLB – Major League Baseball Teams, Scores, Stats, News. | March 4, 2012 at 5:43 pm | ShortcutWhat would this list look like if we instead ranked the pitchers by their junior season?
Posted by Corey | March 4, 2012 at 7:27 pm | ShortcutLast year's #1 pick, Gerritt Cole, had a dismal season and a losing record, but still went tops in the draft. So applying logic to pick selection may be an unproductive exercise.
Posted by Ted Dintersmith | March 5, 2012 at 9:36 am | Shortcut[...] and Aaron Fitt's pick to click Aaron Judge). While Appel hasn't quite dominated yet, scouts aren't concerned because his stuff is very good and he's still growing into his [...]
Posted by Baseball America | Blog | Baseball America Draft Blog | College Draft Prospects Stat Roundup: Week 3 | March 5, 2012 at 11:15 am | Shortcut