Post-Deadline Winners And Losers



One man’s assessment of the winners and losers as the first annual Draft Deadline Day Madness is behind us:

WINNERS

Thaaaa Yankees: No John Sterling call necessary. The Yankees did what many clubs feared they might do: Flex their financial muscle in the draft and sign whoever they want, for whatever they want to pay. The Yankees spent more than $7.4 million in bonuses to sign their picks in the first 10 rounds, with even more committed to first-round pick Andrew Brackman in the form of a major league contract.
That said, giving so much money to Brackman may not work out. But the Yankees are unique in that they can absorb such mistakes with little consequence. Remember Cuban defector Andy Morales ($4.5 million), or Japanese pitcher Kats Maeda ($1.5 million)? Neither do the Yankees.

Tigers: The Tigers don’t quite have the Yankees’ financial muscle–who does?–but they aren’t afraid to spend in the draft. It has already paid dividends in the form of Justin Verlander and Andrew Miller, with Cameron Maybin on the way. That 2011 rotation of Bonderman-Verlander-Miller-Rick Porcello could look pretty dominant.

Scott Boras Corp.: The draft may have been held in Orlando this year, but the road to getting the top talent went through Newport Beach, Calif., home base of Boras Corp. Not every client got the top-end contract he was seeking, but no one controlled the days leading up to the deadline more than Boras.

The Royals and Orioles signed the Boras clients they wanted, and didn’t pay $17 million for them . . . but they still spent $10 million for Mike Moustakas and Matt Wieters. And then there’s the Andrew Brackman contract, which could end up paying him more than $13 million–to a pitcher who’s having Tommy John surgery and has never thrown more than 78 innings in a season. Speaking of which . . .

Andrew Brackman: How exactly did a player with his resume–elbow injury, overrated basketball skills, fewer than 150 career college innings, and post-surgery pro debut of late ’08 or 2009–get a major league contract with a $3.35 million bonus, guarantee of $4.55 million, possible contract of eight figures? He’s probably the biggest winner of the whole draft.

Orioles & Royals: Minutes from getting extra first-round picks in next year’s draft, these clubs were rewarded for holding the line. They both still paid dearly for their first-rounders, but they got deals done without giving up major league deals, and they can both say they weren’t pushovers for Boras.

LOSERS

Astros & Angels: Houston had no first- or second-round pick, then failed to sign its third- and fourth-round picks. Say hello to Collin DeLome, Astros fans, your top draft pick, a solid but not spectacular player. A thin farm system gets little help. The Angels, always willing to take a gamble in the draft, came away empty-handed this year on Matt Harvey, their highest-ceiling pick, in the third round, and didn’t sign hard-throwing Utah prep lefty Tanner Robles (14th round).

Joshua Fields & Kyle Russell: Fields, a righthander who was the second-round pick of the Braves, hasn’t recaptured the magic of his 2006 summer on the Cape but will head back to Georgia for his senior season. Russell, a fourth-round pick of the Cardinals, is a Texas outfielder who at least has the advantage of heading into his junior season, but he’ll be hard-pressed to do better than the Longhorns-record 28 homers he hit this spring.

Commissioner’s Office: The new draft rules, which included a signing deadline and improved compensation for unsigned picks in the first two rounds, were designed to drive down bonuses, and bonus recommendations were down 10 percent this year. We’re still sorting through all the numbers in the first 10 rounds, but with the flurry of late signings that were above the recommended slot, despite the new rules and all of MLB’s posturing and memos . . . the average first-round bonus went up.

Stanford: The Cardinal still has young talent coming back next year, but Jack McGeary might have batted third and been the ace (or No. 2 behind righthander Jeff Inman) to try to lead the program back to prominence. Instead, he gets $1.8 million from the Nationals, a record for a sixth-round pick, and still gets to go to Stanford for three academic quarters a year. McGeary’s deal is amazing, but a blow to coach Mark Marquess’ program.



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C’mon! The Nats signed all of their first 20 picks, and got 3 left-handed pitchers with first-round talent (Detwiler, Smoker, McGeary). How could you not rank them as one of the “winners”?

From the Yankees perspective, it is better to pay $7.4m in the draft and another $4-5m for Int’l FA every year than $40m on Pavano, $46 (all-in) for Igawa, $18m or so on Farnsworth and I can’t blame them

You forgot to mention two-time champ Oregon State as one of the winners. Mike Stutes is returning and Greg Peavey is coming for his freshman year. Would you like to change your eight for Omaha 2008?

Andrew Brackman will make Brien Taylor look like money well spent. This deal is even more perplexing than the Matt Morris for Rajai Davis trade last month. Brackman must have pictures of Steinbrenner?!>?

Brackman doesn’t have pics of Steinbrenner but he does have one of the highest upsides of any pitchers in the minors. Guy’s a beast. Plain and simple. 6’10. Athletic. Nice delivery. Big fastball that he throws on a steep downward plane w/ a big breaker.

It’s just money–which the Yanks have plenty of. If he doesn’t make it, oh well. If he does… then look out.

6’10″, athletic, big fastball, shaky makeup though, and a big question mark so far…Sounds like we got another Ryan Anderson on our hands. The Yanks can certainly absorb this future BUST, but to shell out those kind of dollars??? 1.3 for Suttle was one thing, but gigantic dollars for a gigantic underachiever is another. MLB must have blew a gasket when that above-slot came across the wire.

Brackman will have TJ, about 99% sure. As Dr Andrews said 4 out of 5 guys come back just as good if not better. The guy who doesn’t messed up with his rehab, I’m sure the Yankees are going to be very careful with him, as people have said he has one of the best arms int he draft and when healthy, John Manuel agreed he is one of the top 5 highest ceilign among pitchers in the minors. A good risk to bet on. Sure we could of drafted Smoker and hoped brackman fell to the 2nd round, but the reward that brackman offers is hard to pass up.

Shaky makeup? Haven’t heard that before. Got a link/facts to support that? Also, a gigantic underachiever? I don’t see that seeing as how he’s pretty new to pitching full-time and lost it at the end due to injury but he didn’t have a bad year. MLB can’t do a thing to the Yanks–the Yanks make them an awful lot of money. And it’s much better to spend 4+ million on a talent like Brackman than 46 on a scrub like Igawa whose ceiling was 5th starter to begin with. And i think that Brackman will amount to at least a 5th starter. Bottom line, the Yanks have a lot of money and they’re using it well–investing in young talent.

did the giants screw up with all those early draft picks

Brackman’s makeup, or should I say ‘heart’ was constantly questioned at NCSU…The basketball coaching staff did not shed a tear when he decided to go full-time baseball. He missed alot of practice time in bball with soreness, tightness, etc. that coaches felt were minor/nagging injuries at best. Now TJ surgery with such low miles on his arm…I’m just saying…What’s the precedent for two-sport stars with projectable baseball ceilings that turn into stars at the big league level. Here’s who comes to the top of my mind: Drew Henson, Ricky Williams, Mark Hendrickson, Ryan Minor, Danny Ainge, Bo Jackson, J.R. House, Josh Booty to name a few…so we’re looking at one guy(Bo) who made it. No links to support, just an OF on the Wolfpack team and an opposing ACC coach. Just observations on their part. The one other thing this signing proves is that B. Cashman is the most ineffective GM in the game. It is better to spend 7.4 in the draft, just not half that on a very questionable guy…Why not let somebody else make the mistake, and hey if he pans out in the end, then you sign him to a huge free agent contract when they’re hitting their prime. Isn’t that the Yankee way?


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