Comments on: Stock Report: Week 12 http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/college/2012/05/stock-report-week-12-3/ Mon, 25 Mar 2013 15:39:29 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.2.1 By: Eric http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/college/2012/05/stock-report-week-12-3/comment-page-1/#comment-160671 Eric Mon, 14 May 2012 04:28:14 +0000 http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/college/?p=5629#comment-160671 I think that South Carolina will get a national seed just because of their home facilities are amazing.  I think that South Carolina will get a national seed just because of their home facilities are amazing. 

]]> By: Aaron Fitt http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/college/2012/05/stock-report-week-12-3/comment-page-1/#comment-160163 Aaron Fitt Thu, 10 May 2012 18:02:43 +0000 http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/college/?p=5629#comment-160163 Dustin, the RPI is only one tool used by the committee, but it is a tool they weight very heavily, and there's no way a power conference team that finishes outside the top 65 or so has a chance at an at-large bid. Realistically, power conference teams need to be inside the top 50 to have a real good shot. And that Alcorn State series is not going to help OSU boost the RPI. Dustin, the RPI is only one tool used by the committee, but it is a tool they weight very heavily, and there’s no way a power conference team that finishes outside the top 65 or so has a chance at an at-large bid. Realistically, power conference teams need to be inside the top 50 to have a real good shot. And that Alcorn State series is not going to help OSU boost the RPI.

]]> By: Aaron Fitt http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/college/2012/05/stock-report-week-12-3/comment-page-1/#comment-160162 Aaron Fitt Thu, 10 May 2012 17:59:05 +0000 http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/college/?p=5629#comment-160162 Good post, Scott, and I agree that Elon's case is really shaky. All those teams you mention are worthy of consideration, but unfortunately the RPI will prevent a number of them from getting a real chance with the committee. But several of them will be in the mix. Good post, Scott, and I agree that Elon’s case is really shaky. All those teams you mention are worthy of consideration, but unfortunately the RPI will prevent a number of them from getting a real chance with the committee. But several of them will be in the mix.

]]> By: Scott http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/college/2012/05/stock-report-week-12-3/comment-page-1/#comment-160146 Scott Thu, 10 May 2012 15:38:14 +0000 http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/college/?p=5629#comment-160146 First, since most everyone posts something that is some kind of gripe (and mine are coming at the end...), let me at least point out that I greatly appreciate your site and the work that you guys do.  Hope you guys know that the fact that all of us are visiting your site should be interpreted as some sort of a compliment as well.   I agree with David above regarding Elon.  Nice series wins versus the top 3 in the Southern conference.  However, it has to be taken into account that they LOST series to 3 of the 4 worst teams in the conference--> Davidson (8-19 in conference); Furman (9-15); and Wofford (6-18).  That pretty much negates the wins versus the top 3 teams in the conference in my mind.  Literally <span style="background-color:#ffff00">ZERO</span> wins against any other teams projected to be in the tournament according to the stock report.  I'm all about the mid majors getting bids but I'd put quite a few other mid majors in ahead of Elon regardless of what the other mid majors RPI's are.  I'd also put many of these same teams in ahead of "bubble" power conference teams whose RPIs are inflated simply due to the conference they play in.  Here are the teams and why: Connecticut: Oklahoma(1 win); @ Oregon St.(1); tied for 2nd in Big East Hawaii: Oregon(1); New Mexico St.(3); Wichita St.(3); 1st place WAC Kent St.: @ Georgia Tech(1); @ New Mexico St.(2); @ Pepperdine(1); 1st in MAC-->18-3 Michigan St.: St. John's(1); @ Baylor(1); @ Purdue(1); 31-16 overall New Mexico: Gonzaga(3); *Arizona St. (1); vs TCU (3-3); tied for 1st in Mountain West Oral Roberts: Missouri St.(1); @ CS-Full(1); 1st place in Summit UNC Wilmington: CofC(1); @ CofC(1); @ TCU(1); Coast Car(1); Elon(1); E.Car(1); 1st pl. Utah Valley: *@Arizona St.(1); Arizona(1); 1st pl.; 35-11 (20-0); 28 game win streak Wichita St.: Tulane(2); Purdue(2); Long Beach St.(1); Dallas Baptist(2) Wright St.: @ N.C. State(1); @ Virginia(1); 33-16 overall; tied for 1st in Horizon             First, since most everyone posts something that is some kind of gripe (and mine are coming at the end…), let me at least point out that I greatly appreciate your site and the work that you guys do.  Hope you guys know that the fact that all of us are visiting your site should be interpreted as some sort of a compliment as well.  
I agree with David above regarding Elon.  Nice series wins versus the top 3 in the Southern conference.  However, it has to be taken into account that they LOST series to 3 of the 4 worst teams in the conference–> Davidson (8-19 in conference); Furman (9-15); and Wofford (6-18).  That pretty much negates the wins versus the top 3 teams in the conference in my mind.  Literally ZERO wins against any other teams projected to be in the tournament according to the stock report.  I'm all about the mid majors getting bids but I'd put quite a few other mid majors in ahead of Elon regardless of what the other mid majors RPI's are.  I'd also put many of these same teams in ahead of "bubble" power conference teams whose RPIs are inflated simply due to the conference they play in.  Here are the teams and why:
Connecticut: Oklahoma(1 win); @ Oregon St.(1); tied for 2nd in Big East
Hawaii: Oregon(1); New Mexico St.(3); Wichita St.(3); 1st place WAC
Kent St.: @ Georgia Tech(1); @ New Mexico St.(2); @ Pepperdine(1); 1st in MAC–>18-3
Michigan St.: St. John's(1); @ Baylor(1); @ Purdue(1); 31-16 overall
New Mexico: Gonzaga(3); *Arizona St. (1); vs TCU (3-3); tied for 1st in Mountain West
Oral Roberts: Missouri St.(1); @ CS-Full(1); 1st place in Summit
UNC Wilmington: CofC(1); @ CofC(1); @ TCU(1); Coast Car(1); Elon(1); E.Car(1); 1st pl.
Utah Valley: *@Arizona St.(1); Arizona(1); 1st pl.; 35-11 (20-0); 28 game win streak
Wichita St.: Tulane(2); Purdue(2); Long Beach St.(1); Dallas Baptist(2)
Wright St.: @ N.C. State(1); @ Virginia(1); 33-16 overall; tied for 1st in Horizon
 
 
 
 
   

]]> By: TC http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/college/2012/05/stock-report-week-12-3/comment-page-1/#comment-160140 TC Thu, 10 May 2012 14:32:32 +0000 http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/college/?p=5629#comment-160140 UK should still be at least safely in as far as getting a national seed at this point. They have already played the other ranked highly teams in the conference (SC, LSU, ARK, FLA) and finished with a record of 8-4 against them head-to-head. UK has Alabama at home and Miss. St. on the road  remaining. I still think UK is in the catbird seat as of today. UK should still be at least safely in as far as getting a national seed at this point. They have already played the other ranked highly teams in the conference (SC, LSU, ARK, FLA) and finished with a record of 8-4 against them head-to-head. UK has Alabama at home and Miss. St. on the road  remaining. I still think UK is in the catbird seat as of today.

]]> By: KC http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/college/2012/05/stock-report-week-12-3/comment-page-1/#comment-160025 KC Thu, 10 May 2012 02:20:12 +0000 http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/college/?p=5629#comment-160025 Jeez, the old nobody gives the Gamecocks any respect card again. Think starting conference play 1-5, going 3-6 against your 3 best opponents (Ky, Fla, Ark), and losing mid-week games against Wofford, College of Charleston, and Francis Marion might have anything to do with that lack of respect?  Contrast that with LSU going 6-3 against those same 3 opponents and not losing a midweek game all year, and maybe BA gives South Carolina too much credit. Bottom line: doesn't matter what the rankings say, performance on the field is the only thing that matters in the end. Jeez, the old nobody gives the Gamecocks any respect card again. Think starting conference play 1-5, going 3-6 against your 3 best opponents (Ky, Fla, Ark), and losing mid-week games against Wofford, College of Charleston, and Francis Marion might have anything to do with that lack of respect?  Contrast that with LSU going 6-3 against those same 3 opponents and not losing a midweek game all year, and maybe BA gives South Carolina too much credit.
Bottom line: doesn't matter what the rankings say, performance on the field is the only thing that matters in the end.

]]> By: NCAA Projections Signal Tourney Time « Big Ten Network http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/college/2012/05/stock-report-week-12-3/comment-page-1/#comment-159951 NCAA Projections Signal Tourney Time « Big Ten Network Wed, 09 May 2012 18:43:16 +0000 http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/college/?p=5629#comment-159951 [...] Mills and Rogers, BaseballAmerica.com has Purdue safely in. But their blogger lays out a scenario here with Michigan State, Ohio State, and Illinois on the wrong side of the bubble. Michigan State has [...] [...] Mills and Rogers, BaseballAmerica.com has Purdue safely in. But their blogger lays out a scenario here with Michigan State, Ohio State, and Illinois on the wrong side of the bubble. Michigan State has [...]

]]> By: Michael http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/college/2012/05/stock-report-week-12-3/comment-page-1/#comment-159941 Michael Wed, 09 May 2012 17:09:02 +0000 http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/college/?p=5629#comment-159941 How is Elon even in the conversation still?  Out side of the 3 conference series wins they have that were noted their best 2 wins are against 2 very bubbly teams(Wake Forest and UNCW).  Other than that they have lost every other game which is not hard to do.  Does 2 wins vs App St, 2 vs CofC, 3 vs Samford, 1 vs Wake Forest, and 1 vs UNCW really look like the resume of an atlarge team?  How is Elon even in the conversation still?  Out side of the 3 conference series wins they have that were noted their best 2 wins are against 2 very bubbly teams(Wake Forest and UNCW).  Other than that they have lost every other game which is not hard to do. 

Does 2 wins vs App St, 2 vs CofC, 3 vs Samford, 1 vs Wake Forest, and 1 vs UNCW really look like the resume of an atlarge team? 

]]> By: Dustin http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/college/2012/05/stock-report-week-12-3/comment-page-1/#comment-159935 Dustin Wed, 09 May 2012 16:36:30 +0000 http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/college/?p=5629#comment-159935 Aaron -  I find it difficult to believe the OSU cowboys are going to be left out finishing second place in the big 12 conference (if they take 2 of 3 at home versus aggies).   No way in the world OU gets in before they do considering OSU is going to finish at least 3 games ahead of them in standings and beat them head to head 3 out of 4.  I realize  Osu's RPI is 80 (but will imrove with 3 against a&m and 1 with dallas baptist) but NCAA goes by other factors besides RPI.  That is just one out of several criteria they look at.  Aaron -  I find it difficult to believe the OSU cowboys are going to be left out finishing second place in the big 12 conference (if they take 2 of 3 at home versus aggies).   No way in the world OU gets in before they do considering OSU is going to finish at least 3 games ahead of them in standings and beat them head to head 3 out of 4.  I realize  Osu's RPI is 80 (but will imrove with 3 against a&m and 1 with dallas baptist) but NCAA goes by other factors besides RPI.  That is just one out of several criteria they look at. 

]]> By: joe caca http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/college/2012/05/stock-report-week-12-3/comment-page-1/#comment-159931 joe caca Wed, 09 May 2012 16:03:14 +0000 http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/college/?p=5629#comment-159931 why even have a filed of 64.   just put the entire sec in and crown the champion from there. you so called experts do that every year to start the season.  what a joke!!! why even have a filed of 64.   just put the entire sec in and crown the champion from there.
you so called experts do that every year to start the season.  what a joke!!!

]]> By: Aaron Fitt http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/college/2012/05/stock-report-week-12-3/comment-page-1/#comment-159847 Aaron Fitt Wed, 09 May 2012 07:44:39 +0000 http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/college/?p=5629#comment-159847 You Gamecock fans never cease to amaze with your ability to find a slight where there is no possible way any rational person should feel slighted. What part of "A road series win at Arkansas bolstered South Carolina into very strong national seed position" is difficult to understand? The only reason South Carolina isn't in the "SECURE" category is because it is still just 5-7 against the top 25, but its resume is very strong, and it is JUST outside the "SAFELY IN" group. If you really find that somehow insulting then I don't know what to tell you. You Gamecock fans never cease to amaze with your ability to find a slight where there is no possible way any rational person should feel slighted. What part of “A road series win at Arkansas bolstered South Carolina into very strong national seed position” is difficult to understand? The only reason South Carolina isn’t in the “SECURE” category is because it is still just 5-7 against the top 25, but its resume is very strong, and it is JUST outside the “SAFELY IN” group. If you really find that somehow insulting then I don’t know what to tell you.

]]> By: Rina http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/college/2012/05/stock-report-week-12-3/comment-page-1/#comment-159809 Rina Wed, 09 May 2012 04:12:35 +0000 http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/college/?p=5629#comment-159809 Why won't  you take your own advice about not ever counting South Carolina out again.  It's been almost 3 years now of relentless baseball.  Aren't they due a soft start to a reload year? You would certainly give the benefit of the doubt to UF or UNC. LSU is not a secure NS with a 3 game series still left  @ SC to end the season, especially if they get swept and drop a game or two at Vandy this week to go with it.  Anyone that thinks a sweep of LSU is highly unlikely doesn't understand SC baseball (at Carolina Stadium), especially  with another SEC title on the line.         Why won't  you take your own advice about not ever counting South Carolina out again. 
It's been almost 3 years now of relentless baseball. 
Aren't they due a soft start to a reload year?
You would certainly give the benefit of the doubt to UF or UNC.
LSU is not a secure NS with a 3 game series still left  @ SC to end the season, especially if they get swept and drop a game or two at Vandy this week to go with it. 
Anyone that thinks a sweep of LSU is highly unlikely doesn't understand SC
baseball (at Carolina Stadium), especially  with another SEC title on the line.
 
 
 
 

]]> By: Ryan http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/college/2012/05/stock-report-week-12-3/comment-page-1/#comment-159781 Ryan Wed, 09 May 2012 01:23:59 +0000 http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/college/?p=5629#comment-159781 Georgia has had a pretty difficult schedule this year, with LSU, Kentucky, Florida, Ole Miss, Arkansas, S. Carolina(upcoming), and a UCLA out of conference series. I've seen them lose a few 1 and 2-run games to those teams, which could have given them the series win. They seem to really be flying under the radar, but I feel like they could really pull an upset and win a regional. What do you think about them? Georgia has had a pretty difficult schedule this year, with LSU, Kentucky, Florida, Ole Miss, Arkansas, S. Carolina(upcoming), and a UCLA out of conference series. I've seen them lose a few 1 and 2-run games to those teams, which could have given them the series win. They seem to really be flying under the radar, but I feel like they could really pull an upset and win a regional. What do you think about them?

]]> By: Aaron Fitt http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/college/2012/05/stock-report-week-12-3/comment-page-1/#comment-159751 Aaron Fitt Tue, 08 May 2012 22:17:25 +0000 http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/college/?p=5629#comment-159751 Sun Belt is listed with the one-bid leagues. FAU is down to No. 78 in the RPI, and no other SBC team is better than No. 116. Really bad year for that league, which is often a contender for 3 bids. Sun Belt is listed with the one-bid leagues. FAU is down to No. 78 in the RPI, and no other SBC team is better than No. 116. Really bad year for that league, which is often a contender for 3 bids.

]]> By: Marty http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/college/2012/05/stock-report-week-12-3/comment-page-1/#comment-159747 Marty Tue, 08 May 2012 22:00:57 +0000 http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/college/?p=5629#comment-159747 Did I miss the Sun Belt? FAU? Did I miss the Sun Belt? FAU?

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