Field Of 64: Compelling Storylines



A few things that jumped out to me while looking over the NCAA tournament brackets:

Probable Marquee Mound Showdowns:

1. Connecticut's Matt Barnes vs. Coastal Carolina's Anthony Meo: a tantalizing battle of two first-rounders-to-be, both from lower New England.

2. Texas State's Carson Smith vs. Kent State's Andrew Chafin: a pair of tenacious power arms with checkered medical histories go at it.

3. Creighton's Jonas Dufek vs. Georgia's Michael Palazzone: feel for pitching galore in this Corvallis regional matchup

4. Maine's Jeff Gibbs vs. North Carolina's Patrick Johnson: upset special? Gibbs can run his fastball up to 96 mph, and he beat North Carolina in Chapel Hill in his second career start last February. The fearless Johnson is the consummate winner (he's 11-1).

5. Arkansas' D.J. Baxendale vs. Charlotte's Andrew Smith: great matchup between competitive strike-throwers—the well-known Baxendale, already named to USA Baseball's college national roster for 2011, and the A-10 pitcher of the year in Smith.

Most Intriguing Potential Super Regional Pairings

1. Clemson at South Carolina: The Gamecocks have Clemson's number in Omaha, but the two bitter rivals have never met in a super regional, where the intensity would be magnified even more in an on-campus setting.

2. UCLA at Virginia: potentially the top three pitchers in the draft all in one spot (UCLA's Gerrit Cole and Trevor Bauer, Virginia's Danny Hultzen).

3. Arizona State at Texas: two traditional powers, who last met in a memorable Omaha game in 2009, when the Longhorns stormed back to beat Mike Leake.

Deja Vu All Over Again

1. St. John's is the No. 3 seed at the Charlottesville Regional for the second straight year.

2. Stanford is the No. 2 seed in the Fullerton Regional for the second straight year.

3. UC Irvine is the No. 3 seed in the Los Angeles Regional for the second straight year.

Fearsome 4s

1. Georgia Southern: The nation's leading home run hitter (Victor Roache) leads the Eagles to Carolina Stadium, a home run park.

2. Austin Peay State: The Ohio Valley Conference champs are young but well rounded, and they could upset a few apple carts at the Atlanta Regional.

3. Bethune-Cookman: always a dangerous No. 4 seed, the Wildcats force Florida State to consider throwing ace Sean Gilmartin in the opener. If FSU does not, it could be in for a rude awakening.

Cinderella, Your Carriage Is Waiting

1. New Mexico: The Lobos carried a seven-game losing streak into the Mountain West Conference tournament—their fifth losing streak of five or more games in 2011. But they caught fire at the perfect time, beating juggernaut TCU twice en route to the MWC title. They head to regionals—for the second straight year, after a 48-year absence—with a  20-39 record.

2. Arkansas-Little Rock: After going 18-32 in the regular season, and 10-20 in the Sun Belt Conference, the Trojans beat SBC powers Troy, Western Kentucky, Florida Atlantic and Florida International to win the conference tournament and reach their first regional.

3. Belmont: The Bruins started A-Sun play just 3-8 and had to win back-to-back games at powerhouse Stetson in the final weekend just to make the conference tournament as the sixth and final seed. Four straight victories later, Belmont is headed to regionals for the first time.



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15 Comments

That Charlotte-Arizona pitching matchup would be great… but Charlotte is in Tempe, Arizona is in College Station, TX. 

I believe Troy State is also a team to keep your eyes on.  Vandy has no cakewalk here in Nashville.

Aaron, as a college baseball junkie, I am pleased to see that my Top 8 and Top 16 closely match Baseball America’s latest rankings. But, why is it that I am alone in my disappointment with Fullerton not being a National Seed?

Noted and changed, Chris

I’m interested in Aaron’s take, Craig, but that sweep at LSU looks like a pretty big blotch on CSUF’s resume, and the Big West wasn’t a great league this year, either. Fullerton didn’t really have a signature top-eight national seed season, for me. I do think that team is poised to get hot right about now … hard to call them a sleeper but with all their injuries, it never quite felt like the Titans got rolling. Wouldn’t shock me if it happened now.

Four seasons ago, the only other time Vandy was a National Seed (with David Price et al.), a victory in the Nashville Regional would have pitted them against the winner of the Corvallis Regional.  The committee has created the same prospect again this year……

When LSU swept Fullerton they were rolling.  Mikie Mahtook was unstoppable and Baseball America had them ranked near the top.  Those losses hurt the Titans and the drop off in play by Cal Poly and UC Riverside also hurt.  It is difficult however to suggest that C-USA was such a powerhouse this year either.  Considering the key injuries Cal State had and worked through, the committee gave them no quarter!

CSF has been inconsistent..and I am a Titan thru and thru. They are getting healthy and can roll moving forward BUT they ar right where they should be seeding wise, National seed would have been a gift..an appreciated one though. Good luck all!

An intriguing CWS matchup possibility…
#3 UNC vs. #6 Vanderbilt
Jacob Stallings (UNC) vs. the school at which is his dad (Kevin Stallings) is the head basketball coach (Vandy)

Aaron, why did fresno state all off your radar and why do they get zero respect? 14 losses

Not that it matters now, but the top 25 this week is an absolute joke. Fresno State at 40-14 and an rpi of 21 is not one of the top 25 teams in the nation??? How do you explain that one? 

Who is most likely to outperform their seed? That is, who is most likely to progress farther than the seed would predict. My initial thoughts are Clemson and UCLA. Clemson has been redhot since ACC Player of the Year returned from having a broken finger, going 27-6, including going 5-3 against GaTech and FSU. UCLA is (seed and recordwise) the weakest host and yet, with their two top pitchers, may be more dangerous than some of the National Seeds.

That was supposed to read " . . . ACC Player of the Year Brad Miller . . . "

You Know it alls have slated the Semi's already. How does that look when the teams You pick don't even get there ? Watch out for the Wonder Dogs AGAIN !  Even the Big Guys get Beat. Go see at the UCLA Regional. We know it's about Pitching most of the time. Fresno State has a better Bullpen then Most.  They will be the difference. Do Your Homework Scouts . Last looks before the Draft…..

It isn't Troy State University anymore, it is simply Troy University. The change was back around 2004-2005 but it even took a collegiate sport-focused business like ESPN about 5years to drop the "TSU" and switch to "Troy" on all their websites. Considering the relative success (for a small school) the Trojans had in football and baseball, that was a bit disappointing. Is it important? Absolutely not, but I imagine the Troy community was a wee bit irked by it ;-) I know my wife was fed up with hearing me say "Seriously?? Are you kidding me?? Why do they still have TSU up on the scoreboard when it's 2009 for $%@# sake!!" LOL


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  • Aaron Fitt is the lead college writer for Baseball America. If you have questions or comments about college baseball you can e-mail him at collegeblog@baseballamerica.com.

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