The most surprising team omitted from the NCAA tournament is Kentucky, simply because of the committee's history of rewarding ninth-place Southeastern Conference teams that have strong RPIs. The Wildcats are 33rd, according to Boyd's World, and have 16 wins against the top 50. But their omission is perfectly defensible given the way they finished the season, losing a series against lowly Georgia. If you're going to miss your conference tournament, you'd better at least finish strong (like North Carolina did) in the regular season to have a chance. The Tar Heels also were 12 spots higher in the RPI.
If I were on the committee, I would have lobbied for Wichita State as the last team over Arizona or Kentucky. Wichita's RPI (56th) meant it was a long shot, but it's a lot more difficult to construct a solid RPI playing in the upper Midwest and playing a Missouri Valley Conference schedule than it is in warm-weather locales, and at least the Shockers won an early-season series at fellow bubble dweller Florida Gulf Coast. My next team would have been Pittsburgh, which was also sabotaged by the RPI (No. 57) and by a poor finish over the last two weeks. But it's not at all surprising that both of those teams were omitted, and it's far from egregious.
Other bubble teams that were left out of regionals that would have been solid at-large choices: Texas State and Florida Gulf Coast, but again, neither omission is glaring, since both teams lacked quality wins. Other fringe bubble teams that did not get nods: Liberty, Boston College, Western Carolina, Western Kentucky, Rutgers, Southeastern Louisiana.
|
Comments will be monitored prior to being added to the site. Comments that include profanity or personal attacks or other inappropriate comments or material will be rejected. Additionally, entries that are unsigned or contain "signatures" by someone other than the actual author will be removed. We have chosen to open up commenting to everyone, so comment away! We want to hear from each and every one of you! Leave a comment. |
About This Blog
Categories
Archives
Syndicate This Blog
Blogs
BaseballAmerica.com
Search This Blog
The dollars and cents grip that Arkansas has on NCAA baseball is disgusting. One question–if ASU doesn't make it out of its' regional and the Hogs do, will U of A host a Super Regional?
Posted by eeebayou | May 31, 2010 at 12:52 pm | ShortcutAaron,
Posted by fredj | June 4, 2010 at 3:38 am | ShortcutYou're sure a die hard cold weather guy, aren't you?
It's hard to take seriously your argument that Wichita State and Pittsburgh were penalized because they play in weak conferences.
Pittsburgh had every opportunity to strengthen its RPI with strong non-conference competition. Instead, Pitt traveled to South Carolina to play Albany, Ball State and Toledo; then traveled to Florida to play Fordham (4 times) and Youngstown State. Why weren't they willing to take on the dozens of competitive baseball programs in Florida, Georgia or the Carolinas?
Similarly, Wichita State loaded its non-conference schedule with North Dakota, Eastern Michigan, Central Arkansas, Rogers State (NAIA), Bethany (weak NAIA league), Tabor (abysmal NAIA program).
Nobody forced Pitt or Wichita to pad their schedules with these wimps. So, no baseball analyst can be respected for suggesting either program deserves a tournament spot.
Good grief, Aaron, how many years will it take you to figure out Wichita State is a has-been program?
Fred, I’m not advocating very strenuously for Wichita or Pitt. They were in the pool of at-large bubble teams and would have been defensible choices just like Arizona or Kentucky. Given a choice between a team that lost its last six conference series but has a strong RPI because it plays in a strong league (and has more quality wins, to be sure), or a team with a weaker but still respectable RPI in a cold-weather conference that played extremely well in the last month (like Wichita), I’d lean toward the latter team. Call me a cold-weather-team apologist if you want, but it’s a lot harder to compete in a baseball season that begins in February if you are in Kansas or Pennsylvania than if you are in Arizona. Why should Wichita or Pitt have to go play Miami in February and get waxed by a team that has actually been playing outside? That wouldn’t be good for the RPI either.
Posted by Aaron Fitt | June 4, 2010 at 5:22 pm | Shortcut